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. 2019 Jan 16;12:38. doi: 10.1186/s13071-018-3280-z

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© The Author(s). 2019

Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Fig. 4 — M1 model: probability risk of local dengue transmission initiation. a Weekly risk factors considered in Model 1 to determine the transmission probability. b Probability of local transmission of dengue to occur every week (red line) with 95% confidence interval (red dashed lines)