Figure 3:

Impact of conflict on under-1 mortality over time. The top panel (Figure 3A) shows the coefficients from a regression with conflict exposure indicators for each year up to 10 years before birth. Each coefficient represents the independent lingering risk of mortality in the first year of life from historical conflict taking place up to 10 years before birth. Conflicts up to 8 years prior to birth show an independent relationship with increased under-1 mortality. The bottom panel (3B) shows the cumulative mortality risk over time for conflicts that occurred within 0-50km, 50+ - 100km, and 100+ - 250km from a child’s birth, estimated in one regression, and reveals an attenuated effect at farther distances. Grey bands represent 95% confidence intervals.