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. 2019 Jan 15;9(1):e023938. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-023938

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© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2018. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.

This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Unported (CC BY 4.0) license, which permits others to copy, redistribute, remix, transform and build upon this work for any purpose, provided the original work is properly cited, a link to the licence is given, and indication of whether changes were made. See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Time until the confidence about no circulation reaches 95% (CNC95%) for small population sizes in the fully stochastic model that starts at the endemic equilibrium, as a function of DP. DP, detection probability.