Table 2.
Implied effects of the ACA at mean pretreatment uninsured rate for full sample and income and race subsamples
| Any insurance | Any private | Employer‐sponsored | Individually purchased | Medicaid | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel I: Full sample | ||||||
| Nonelderly adults aged 19‐64 (pretreatment uninsured rate = 0.203, sample size = 10 537 667) | ||||||
| Medicaid expansion | 0.050*** (0.011) | −0.009 (0.009) | 0.003 (0.007) | −0.010 (0.012) | 0.062*** (0.008) | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Full ACA (w/Medicaid) | 0.087*** (0.005) | 0.028*** (0.006) | 0.017*** (0.004) | 0.012*** (0.003) | 0.062*** (0.007) | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Panel II: Income subsamples | ||||||
| Under 138% FPL (Pretreatment Uninsured Rate = 0.395, sample size = 1 949 375) | ||||||
| Medicaid expansion | 0.170*** (0.033) | −0.031 (0.018) | −0.007 (0.016) | −0.024 (0.019) | 0.216*** (0.036) | −0.003 (0.003) |
| Full ACA (w/Medicaid) | 0.169*** (0.029) | 0.018 (0.011) | 0.015 (0.009) | 0.002 (0.007) | 0.154*** (0.031) | 0.002 (0.002) |
| 138%‐400% FPL (Pretreatment Uninsured Rate = 0.237, sample size = 4 137 149) | ||||||
| Medicaid expansion | 0.056*** (0.016) | 0.011 (0.015) | 0.023 (0.016) | −0.008 (0.016) | 0.047** (0.015) | 0.001 (0.002) |
| Full ACA (w/Medicaid) | 0.105*** (0.013) | 0.066*** (0.014) | 0.050*** (0.011) | 0.019*** (0.006) | 0.042** (0.013) | −0.001 (0.001) |
| Over 400% FPL (Pretreatment Uninsured Rate = 0.067, sample size = 4 482 022) | ||||||
| Medicaid expansion | 0.012** (0.004) | 0.002 (0.006) | 0.006 (0.009) | −0.002 (0.007) | 0.010* (0.004) | −0.001 (0.002) |
| Full ACA (w/Medicaid) | 0.028*** (0.003) | 0.019*** (0.005) | 0.008 (0.005) | 0.010*** (0.003) | 0.010* (0.004) | 0.001 (0.002) |
| Panel III: Race/Ethnicity subsamples | ||||||
| Non‐Hispanic white (Pretreatment Uninsured Rate = 0.144, sample size = 7 149 482) | ||||||
| Medicaid expansion | 0.051*** (0.006) | −0.002 (0.006) | 0.004 (0.008) | −0.004 (0.007) | 0.058*** (0.008) | −0.002 (0.001) |
| Full ACA (w/Medicaid) | 0.077*** (0.005) | 0.019*** (0.005) | 0.010** (0.004) | 0.007* (0.003) | 0.067*** (0.007) | −0.003*** (0.001) |
| Non‐white (Pretreatment Uninsured Rate = 0.306, sample size = 3 388 185) | ||||||
| Medicaid expansion | 0.070*** (0.020) | −0.014 (0.019) | 0.005 (0.009) | −0.015 (0.020) | 0.083*** (0.013) | 0.006* (0.002) |
| Full ACA (w/Medicaid) | 0.115*** (0.009) | 0.039*** (0.009) | 0.025** (0.008) | 0.018** (0.006) | 0.075*** (0.012) | 0.004* (0.002) |
Results are effects of the ACA on the proportion of residents with the specified type of insurance, evaluated at the mean pretreatment uninsured rate. Standard errors, heteroskedasticity‐robust and clustered by state, are in parentheses. *** indicates statistical significance at 0.1% level, ** at 1% level, and * at 5% level. Sampling weights are used. All regressions include area and time fixed effects and the full set of controls.