Table 3. Multivariable model results from multinomial logistic model of markers of recent infectiona and logistic regression model of combined outcome, among people who inject drugs, England, Wales and Northern Ireland, 2011–13 (n = 2,816).
Variable | Category | Logistic model | Multinomial logistic model | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Combined OR (95% CI) |
p value | RNA RRR (95% CI) |
p value | Avidity RRR (95% CI) |
p value | p value diffb | ||
Gender | Male | 1 (ref) | 0.022 | 1 (ref) | 0.152 | 1 (ref) | 0.072 | 0.962 |
Female | 1.59 (1.07–2.37) |
1.55 (0.85–2.84) |
1.61 (0.97–2.68) |
|||||
Regional prevalence | Low (<40%) | 1.08 (0.69–1.71) |
0.237 | 1.73 (0.83–3.57) |
0.339 | 0.77 (0.42–1.38) |
0.086 | 0.104 |
Medium (40–55%) | 1 (ref) | 1 (ref) | 1 (ref) | |||||
High (>55%) | 1.41 (0.91–2.18) |
1.45 (0.68–3.06) |
1.40 (0.83–2.37) |
|||||
Injecting durationc | <1 year | 1.00 (0.46–2.16) |
0.790 | 1.01 (0.28–3.68) |
0.309 | 0.99 (0.38–2.53) |
0.129 | 0.032 |
1–5 years | 0.85 (0.52–1.38) |
1.53 (0.75–3.12) |
0.49 (0.25–0.96) |
|||||
6–10 years | 1 (ref) | 1 (ref) | 1 (ref) | |||||
11–14 years | 0.74 (0.42–1.29) |
0.68 (0.26–1.75) |
0.77 (0.39–1.51) |
|||||
15–19 years | 0.77 (0.43–1.38) |
0.78 (0.30–2.02) |
0.77 (0.38–1.57) |
|||||
≥20 years | 1.09 (0.61–1.93) |
0.61 (0.19–1.92) |
1.34 (0.69–2.61) |
|||||
Homelessness | Never | 1 (ref) | 0.237 | 1 (ref) | 0.631 | 1 (ref) | 0.103 | 0.234 |
Yes, not past year | 1.49 (0.89–2.48) |
1.38 (0.66–2.91) |
1.61 (0.81–3.20) |
|||||
Yes, past year | 1.52 (0.92–2.51) |
1.11 (0.52–2.36) |
1.90 (0.97–3.71) |
|||||
Imprisonment | Never | 1 (ref) | 0.003 | 1 (ref) | 0.122 | 1 (ref) | 0.019 | 0.974 |
1–4 times | 0.76 (0.48–1.20) |
0.80 (0.40–1.61) |
0.74 (0.41–1.35) |
|||||
≥5 times | 1.62 (1.06–2.48) |
1.63 (0.83–3.17) |
1.65 (0.96–2.81) |
|||||
Crack injecting | No | 1 (ref) | < 0.001 | 1 (ref) | 0.009 | 1 (ref) | < 0.001 | 0.949 |
Yes | 2.32 (1.58–3.41) |
2.28 (1.22–4.24) |
2.32 (1.45–3.72) |
|||||
Injecting and sharing past month | Did not inject past month | 1 (ref) | < 0.001 | 1 (ref) | 0.036 | 1 (ref) | < 0.001 | 0.438 |
Injected and did not share | 1.20 (0.68–2.10) |
0.86 (0.39–1.89) |
1.61 (0.73–3.59) |
|||||
Injected and shared | 2.69 (1.52–4.73) |
1.83 (0.83–4.06) |
3.79 (1.69–8.50) |
CI: 95% confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; ref: reference value; RRR: relative risk ratio.
a RNA-positive antibody-negative (RNA marker) and antibody-positive with weak avidity (avidity marker).
b p value diff is the p value for the effect estimates for RNA and avidity being the same.
c Using three duration categories 0–5, 6–14 and ≥15 years, with 6–14 years as baseline, the pattern is similar. For the 0–5 years category for RNA, RRR = 1.64 (95% CI: 0.91–2.98) and for avidity, RRR = 0.80 (95% CI: 0.38–1.70). For the ≥15 years category for the RNA, RRR = 0.62 (95% CI: 0.36–1.07) and for avidity, RRR = 1.07 (95% CI: 0.66–1.73).