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. 2018 Nov 22;23(47):1700635. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.47.1700635

Table 3. Multivariable model results from multinomial logistic model of markers of recent infectiona and logistic regression model of combined outcome, among people who inject drugs, England, Wales and Northern Ireland, 2011–13 (n = 2,816).

Variable Category Logistic model Multinomial logistic model
Combined OR
(95% CI)
p value RNA RRR
(95% CI)
p value Avidity RRR
(95% CI)
p value p value diffb
Gender Male 1 (ref) 0.022 1 (ref) 0.152 1 (ref) 0.072 0.962
Female 1.59
(1.07–2.37)
1.55
(0.85–2.84)
1.61
(0.97–2.68)
Regional prevalence Low (<40%) 1.08
(0.69–1.71)
0.237 1.73
(0.83–3.57)
0.339 0.77
(0.42–1.38)
0.086 0.104
Medium (40–55%) 1 (ref) 1 (ref) 1 (ref)
High (>55%) 1.41
(0.91–2.18)
1.45
(0.68–3.06)
1.40
(0.83–2.37)
Injecting durationc <1 year 1.00
(0.46–2.16)
0.790 1.01
(0.28–3.68)
0.309 0.99
(0.38–2.53)
0.129 0.032
1–5 years 0.85
(0.52–1.38)
1.53
(0.75–3.12)
0.49
(0.25–0.96)
6–10 years 1 (ref) 1 (ref) 1 (ref)
11–14 years 0.74
(0.42–1.29)
0.68
(0.26–1.75)
0.77
(0.39–1.51)
15–19 years 0.77
(0.43–1.38)
0.78
(0.30–2.02)
0.77
(0.38–1.57)
≥20 years 1.09
(0.61–1.93)
0.61
(0.19–1.92)
1.34
(0.69–2.61)
Homelessness Never 1 (ref) 0.237 1 (ref) 0.631 1 (ref) 0.103 0.234
Yes, not past year 1.49
(0.89–2.48)
1.38
(0.66–2.91)
1.61
(0.81–3.20)
Yes, past year 1.52
(0.92–2.51)
1.11
(0.52–2.36)
1.90
(0.97–3.71)
Imprisonment Never 1 (ref) 0.003 1 (ref) 0.122 1 (ref) 0.019 0.974
1–4 times 0.76
(0.48–1.20)
0.80
(0.40–1.61)
0.74
(0.41–1.35)
≥5 times 1.62
(1.06–2.48)
1.63
(0.83–3.17)
1.65
(0.96–2.81)
Crack injecting No 1 (ref) < 0.001 1 (ref) 0.009 1 (ref) < 0.001 0.949
Yes 2.32
(1.58–3.41)
2.28
(1.22–4.24)
2.32
(1.45–3.72)
Injecting and sharing past month Did not inject past month 1 (ref) < 0.001 1 (ref) 0.036 1 (ref) < 0.001 0.438
Injected and did not share 1.20
(0.68–2.10)
0.86
(0.39–1.89)
1.61
(0.73–3.59)
Injected and shared 2.69
(1.52–4.73)
1.83
(0.83–4.06)
3.79
(1.69–8.50)

CI: 95% confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; ref: reference value; RRR: relative risk ratio.

a RNA-positive antibody-negative (RNA marker) and antibody-positive with weak avidity (avidity marker).

b p value diff is the p value for the effect estimates for RNA and avidity being the same.

c Using three duration categories 0–5, 6–14 and ≥15 years, with 6–14 years as baseline, the pattern is similar. For the 0–5 years category for RNA, RRR = 1.64 (95% CI: 0.91–2.98) and for avidity, RRR = 0.80 (95% CI: 0.38–1.70). For the ≥15 years category for the RNA, RRR = 0.62 (95% CI: 0.36–1.07) and for avidity, RRR = 1.07 (95% CI: 0.66–1.73).