Table 4. Posterior median estimates and 95% credibility intervals from null (M1) and adjusted (M2) models examining individual infection with HIV, Plasmodium falciparum, and Mycobacterium tuberculosis.
HIV | P. falciparum | M. tuberculosis | ||||
M1 | M2 | M1 | M2 | M1 | M2 | |
Intercept | -3.3 (-4.1, -2.6) | -2.8 (-3.8, -1.9) | -1 (-1.2, -0.8) | -1.8 (-2.4, -1.2) | -2.6 (-3.0, -2.3) | -2.9 (-3.8, -2.2) |
Age | - | 1.7 (1.3, 2.1)* | - | -1.5 (-1.7, -1.3)* | - | 1.1 (0.8, 1.4)* |
Age x Age | - | -0.9 (-1.2, -0.7)* | - | 0.4 (0.3, 0.6)* | - | -0.4 (-0.6, -0.3)* |
Male gender | - | -0.5 (-1.0, -0.1)* | - | 0.1 (-0.1, 0.3) | - | 0.3 (-0.1, 0.6) |
Luo ethnicity1 | - | 1.1 (0.4, 1.8)* | - | 0.2 (-0.2, 0.6) | - | 0.3 (-0.3, 0.8) |
Samia ethnicity1 | - | 0.6 (-0.3, 1.6) | - | 0.2 (-0.4, 0.7) | - | -0.2 (-1.1, 0.7) |
Teso ethnicity1 | - | -0.1 (-1.2, 0.9) | - | 0.0 (-0.4, 0.5) | - | 0.1 (-0.6, 0.9) |
Primary2 | - | -0.3 (-1.0, 0.4) | - | 0.1 (-0.4, 0.7) | - | 0.2 (-0.4, 0.9) |
Beyond primary2 | - | -0.7 (-1.6, 0.1) | - | -0.2 (-0.7, 0.4) | - | 0.6 (-0.2, 1.3) |
σ2H | 0.3 (0.0, 1.3) | 0.4 (0.0, 1.7) | 0.3 (0.1, 0.6) | 0.4 (0.1, 0.8) | 0.2 (0.0, 0.9) | 0.4 (0.0, 1.2) |
σ2SL | 0.3 (0.0, 0.8) | 0.3 (0.0, 1.0) | 0.2 (0.0, 0.3) | 0.2 (0.0, 0.4) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) | 0.1 (0.0, 0.4) |
σ2C | 1.0 (0.3, 3.5) | 0.6 (0.1, 2.3) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) | 0.0 (0.0, 0.3) | 0.1 (0.0, 0.6) | 0.2 (0.0, 0.9) |
VPCH | 34.7% (19, 56.9) | 30.6% (14.0, 52.1) | 12.7% (7.1, 19.7) | 17.6% (10.3, 26.2) | 13.5% (3.6, 27.7) | 18.7% (5.7, 35.4) |
VPCSL | 26.8% (11.8, 51.7) | 20.2% (6.6, 43.2) | 4.9% (1.2, 10.3) | 6.4% (1.5, 13.5) | 5.9% (0.7, 17.6) | 6.8% (0.8, 21.5) |
VPCC | 20.5% (7.7, 47.6) | 12.3% (2.1, 35.9) | 0.5% (0.0, 3.9) | 1.0% (0.0, 6.7) | 3.6% (0.1, 14.7) | 4.1% (0.0, 18.8) |
PTVHH | 6.2% (0.1, 22.5) | 8.8% (0.1, 27.9) | 7.6% (2.1, 14.2) | 10.8% (3.9, 19.1) | 6.4% (0.1, 19.6) | 10.8% (0.3, 24.8) |
PTVSL | 4.9% (0.1, 16) | 6.4% (0.1, 19.8) | 4.0% (0.6, 8.8) | 4.9% (0.6, 10.8) | 1.2% (0.0, 8.8) | 1.5% (0.0, 9.9) |
MORH | 3.5 (2.3, 7.3) | 3.1 (2.0, 6) | 1.9 (1.6, 2.3) | 2.2 (1.8, 2.8) | 2 (1.4, 2.9) | 2.3 (1.5, 3.6) |
MORSL | 3.0 (2.0, 6.5) | 2.5 (1.6, 4.9) | 1.5 (1.2, 1.8) | 1.6 (1.3, 2.1) | 1.6 (1.2, 2.3) | 1.6 (1.2, 2.6) |
MORC | 2.6 (1.7, 6) | 2.1 (1.3, 4.3) | 1.1 (1.0, 1.5) | 1.2 (1.0, 1.6) | 1.4 (1.0, 2.1) | 1.5 (1.0, 2.5) |
DIC3 | 1101.5 | 1036.2 | 1275.5 | 1276.8 | 2883 | 2545.8 |
* 95% credibility intervals do not include 0
1 Luhya ethnicity baseline
2 No education baseline
3 Deviance information criteria (DIC) is an estimate of predictive error: the lower the better