Table 4.

Median team average forecast skill by target for forecast locations during the 2015-2016 influenza forecasting challenge. Bold denotes the location with the highest median team forecast skill.

Location	Onset week	Peak week	Peak intensity	1 week ahead	2 week ahead	3 week ahead	4 week ahead
US National	0.037	0.030	0.301	0.655	0.413	0.311	0.290
HHS Region 1	0.456	0.013	0.382	0.497	0.553	0.525	0.404
HHS Region 2	0.003	0.011	0.209	0.379	0.231	0.223	0.184
HHS Region 3	0.384	0.006	0.174	0.570	0.269	0.184	0.163
HHS Region 4	0.004	0.027	0.229	0.386	0.302	0.191	0.204
HHS Region 5	0.039	0.019	0.184	0.537	0.256	0.286	0.200
HHS Region 6	0.259	0.017	0.060	0.256	0.161	0.122	0.077
HHS Region 7	0.032	0.022	0.153	0.627	0.514	0.438	0.276
HHS Region 8	0.054	0.021	0.498	0.735	0.677	0.582	0.436
HHS Region 9	0.043	0.063	0.514	0.248	0.231	0.224	0.192
HHS Region 10	0.092	0.137	0.482	0.625	0.565	0.537	0.492