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. 2019 Jan 25;14(1):e0210317. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0210317

Table 1. Number of cattle to be vaccinated according the time between the first outbreak and the last animal of the area become immunized.

Percentages (50% to 95%) indicate the corresponding percentiles for that week. In bold the number of animals estimated using the simplified method, in italics using the refined method, and the difference between them.

Weeks Radius Method 50% 75% 90% 95%
4 29.2 Simple 147903 200238 244905 301616,5
Refined 122907 186456 232150,4 267157,7
Difference 20.3% 7.4% 5.5% 12.9%
5 36.5 Simple 229640 312011 382094 464799
Refined 188015 286339 357068 405460
Difference 22.1% 9.0% 7.0% 14.6%
6 43.8 Simple 327074 447711 546728 660538
Refined 264875 405724 505105 564229
Difference 23.5% 10.3% 8.2% 17.1%
7 51.1 Simple 442474 608196 740716 894534
Refined 352950 544324 678328 744464
Difference 25.4% 11.7% 9.2% 20.2%
8 58.4 Simple 577119 795938 965141 1149848
Refined 453062 699144 873654 955775
Difference 27.4% 13.8% 10.5% 20.3%