Table 1. Number of cattle to be vaccinated according the time between the first outbreak and the last animal of the area become immunized.
Percentages (50% to 95%) indicate the corresponding percentiles for that week. In bold the number of animals estimated using the simplified method, in italics using the refined method, and the difference between them.
Weeks | Radius | Method | 50% | 75% | 90% | 95% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 29.2 | Simple | 147903 | 200238 | 244905 | 301616,5 |
Refined | 122907 | 186456 | 232150,4 | 267157,7 | ||
Difference | 20.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 12.9% | ||
5 | 36.5 | Simple | 229640 | 312011 | 382094 | 464799 |
Refined | 188015 | 286339 | 357068 | 405460 | ||
Difference | 22.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 14.6% | ||
6 | 43.8 | Simple | 327074 | 447711 | 546728 | 660538 |
Refined | 264875 | 405724 | 505105 | 564229 | ||
Difference | 23.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 17.1% | ||
7 | 51.1 | Simple | 442474 | 608196 | 740716 | 894534 |
Refined | 352950 | 544324 | 678328 | 744464 | ||
Difference | 25.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 20.2% | ||
8 | 58.4 | Simple | 577119 | 795938 | 965141 | 1149848 |
Refined | 453062 | 699144 | 873654 | 955775 | ||
Difference | 27.4% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 20.3% |