Mosquito daily movement probability to a nearby house |
30% |
[48] |
Mosquito daily emergence rates |
Consistent with time-varying estimates of adult mosquito death rates and spatiotemporal estimates of Ae. Aegypti density in Iquitos. |
[49,50] |
Average interval between blood feeding events (exponential distribution) |
Temperature-dependent |
[51–53] |
Probability of pathogen transmission to susceptible human conditional on an infectious mosquito bite |
1.0 |
[54] |
Incubation period in the mosquito (lognormal distribution) |
|
[55] |
Infectiousness—human symptomatic primary infection |
|
[56] |
Infectiousness—human symptomatic secondary infection |
|
[56] |
Infectiousness—human asymptomatic primary infection |
|
[56] |
Infectiousness—human asymptomatic secondary infection |
|
[56] |
Incubation period in humans |
Captured by time-varying infectiousness curve |
[55,56] |
Human temporary immunity period (Exponential distribution). |
|
[42,57] |
Probability of developing symptoms given primary infection |
30% |
[56] |
Probability of developing symptoms for secondary infection |
60% |
[56] |
Probability of developing symptoms for tertiary and quaternary infections |
10% |
[56] |
Probability of severe disease for primary infection, given the apparition of symptoms |
11% |
[56] |
Probability of severe disease for secondary infection, given the apparition of symptoms |
20% |
[56] |
Probability of severe disease for tertiary and quaternary infections, given the apparition of symptoms |
5% |
[56] |
Human demographic rates |
Consistent with U.N. estimates |
[58] |