Skip to main content
. 2019 Jan 25;14(1):e0210041. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0210041

Table 2. Fixed parameters of the model.

Parameter Value Reference
Mosquito daily movement probability to a nearby house 30% [48]
Mosquito daily emergence rates Consistent with time-varying estimates of adult mosquito death rates and spatiotemporal estimates of Ae. Aegypti density in Iquitos. [49,50]
Average interval between blood feeding events (exponential distribution) Temperature-dependent [5153]
Probability of pathogen transmission to susceptible human conditional on an infectious mosquito bite 1.0 [54]
Incubation period in the mosquito (lognormal distribution) μ=f(T) , σ=0.451754 [55]
Infectiousness—human symptomatic primary infection e(0.204(tti5.538)2/0.999) [56]
Infectiousness—human symptomatic secondary infection e(0.383(tti5.874)2/0.999) [56]
Infectiousness—human asymptomatic primary infection e(0.25(tti5.585)2/0.999) [56]
Infectiousness—human asymptomatic secondary infection e(0.584(tti4.883)2/0.999) [56]
Incubation period in humans Captured by time-varying infectiousness curve [55,56]
Human temporary immunity period (Exponential distribution). λ=1686 days1 [42,57]
Probability of developing symptoms given primary infection 30% [56]
Probability of developing symptoms for secondary infection 60% [56]
Probability of developing symptoms for tertiary and quaternary infections 10% [56]
Probability of severe disease for primary infection, given the apparition of symptoms 11% [56]
Probability of severe disease for secondary infection, given the apparition of symptoms 20% [56]
Probability of severe disease for tertiary and quaternary infections, given the apparition of symptoms 5% [56]
Human demographic rates Consistent with U.N. estimates [58]