Table 2.
Optional Triage approaches and key characteristic assumptions
Triage label | Description of triage approach | Sensitivity | Specificity | Additional cost per testb |
---|---|---|---|---|
T1- Base case | No triage | |||
T2- Cough 1 week | Respiratory symptom of cough > 1 week [18] | 88% | 19% | US$0 |
T3 Cough 3 weeks | Respiratory symptom of cough > 3 weeks [18] | 61% | 51% | US$0 |
T4- Clinical Score | Scorecard based on aggregating scores assigned to respiratory symptoms including chest pain, cough, sputum expectoration, hemoptysis, night sweats, fever, shortness of breath and weight loss [18]. | 83% | 52% | US$2 |
T5- ANN | Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based on using a multilayer perceptron (MLP) approach [19] to infer the probability of a patient having active pulmonary-TB from personal data and clinical symptoms i.e. age, gender, cough, fever, weight loss, smoker, night sweats, hospitalisation, chest pain, dyspnea, and hemoptysis. | 98%a | 32%a | US$2 |
T6- TPP (optimal) | A theoretical optimal target product profile (TPP) as proposed by Denkinger et al. [21] | 95% | 80% | US$2 |
T7- TPP (minimal) | A theoretical target product profile (TPP) with the minimum characteristics required to be useful as proposed by Denkinger et al. [21] | 90% | 70% | US$2 |
athe sensitivity and specificity figures are taken from unpublished research in Brazil
bThe additional cost per triage test is assumed to be low as the characteristics are those which clinicians will already consider today. An additional allowance (US$2) has been made if some computation is required in line with the costs proposed by Denkinger et al [20] for the TPP’s