Table 4.
Relative change of the size of workforce and retiree in China under nine retirement schemes with the 2010 population as baseline, for the years of 2030, 2040 and 2050
| Total | Female | Male | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workforce | Retiree | Workforce | Retiree | Workforce | Retiree | |
| Baseline population in 2010 | 460,967,916 | 114,727,989 | 207,105,294 | 76,545,247 | 253,862,622 | 38,182,741 |
| Relative change in 2030 under nine retirement schemes | ||||||
| A | 17% | 163% | 11% | 147% | 22% | 196% |
| B_e | 26% | 125% | 20% | 120% | 31% | 134% |
| B_l | 20% | 150% | 14% | 138% | 25% | 176% |
| C_e | 30% | 110% | 29% | 98% | 31% | 134% |
| C_l | 21% | 146% | 16% | 131% | 25% | 176% |
| D1_e | 35% | 89% | 40% | 66% | 31% | 134% |
| D1_l | 22% | 140% | 20% | 122% | 25% | 176% |
| D2_e | 31% | 104% | 43% | 58% | 22% | 196% |
| D2_l | 21% | 146% | 20% | 121% | 22% | 196% |
| Relative change in 2040 under nine retirement schemes | ||||||
| A | 23% | 245% | 16% | 215% | 28% | 307% |
| B_e | 40% | 177% | 37% | 158% | 42% | 214% |
| B_l | 33% | 204% | 29% | 181% | 37% | 251% |
| C_e | 46% | 154% | 50% | 125% | 42% | 214% |
| C_l | 37% | 189% | 37% | 158% | 37% | 251% |
| D1_e | 54% | 122% | 67% | 76% | 42% | 214% |
| D1_l | 42% | 169% | 48% | 129% | 37% | 251% |
| D2_e | 54% | 122% | 67% | 76% | 42% | 214% |
| D2_l | 38% | 185% | 50% | 125% | 28% | 307% |
| Relative change in 2050 under nine retirement schemes | ||||||
| A | 22% | 304% | 17% | 256% | 26% | 400% |
| B_e | 39% | 235% | 32% | 215% | 44% | 275% |
| B_l | 39% | 235% | 32% | 215% | 44% | 275% |
| C_e | 44% | 214% | 43% | 184% | 44% | 275% |
| C_l | 44% | 214% | 43% | 184% | 44% | 275% |
| D1_e | 55% | 170% | 68% | 118% | 44% | 275% |
| D1_l | 55% | 170% | 68% | 118% | 44% | 275% |
| D2_e | 55% | 170% | 68% | 118% | 44% | 275% |
| D2_l | 55% | 170% | 68% | 118% | 44% | 275% |
The nine retirement schemes are A (the current retirement ages remain unchanged), B_e (everyone will prolong retirement by 5 years from 2015 to 2040), B_l (everyone will prolong retirement by 5 years from 2025 to 2050), C_e (females will retire at 60 and male at 65 from 2015 to 2040), C_l (females will retire at 60 and male at 65 from 2025 to 2050), D1_e (everyone will retire at 65 from 2015 to 2040), D1_l (everyone will retire at 65 from 2025 to 2050), D2_e (everyone will retire at 65 from 2015 to 2040 with females adjusted first), D2_l (everyone will retire at 65 from 2025 to 2050 with females adjusted first)