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. 2018 Feb 13;35(1):29–62. doi: 10.1007/s10680-018-9467-3

Table 7.

Major demographic parameters of China from 2010 to 2050 assumed in the projections of ProFamy

Year Life expectancy at birth Mean age at first marriage Mean age at birth Total fertility rate General marriage rate General divorce rate Proportion in total population
Women Men Women Men
Urban
2010 77.87 74.21 25.34 27.1 29.72 1.24 0.0899 0.0082 0.50
2015 78.96 75.22 26.00 27.97 30.81 1.67 0.0921 0.0085 0.55
2020 80.36 76.44 26.66 28.84 31.89 1.67 0.0944 0.0088 0.63
2030 81.76 77.65 27.48 30.13 33.05 1.67 0.0989 0.0094 0.71
2035 82.50 78.36 27.91 30.80 33.65 1.72 0.0989 0.0094 0.75
2050 83.99 80.54 28.33 31.47 34.25 1.72 0.0989 0.0094 0.87
Rural
2010 73.88 70.07 23.64 25.64 27.89 2.01 0.0853 0.0032 0.50
2015 74.79 71.09 24.52 26.52 28.62 2.15 0.0879 0.0033 0.45
2020 76.21 72.35 25.4 27.4 29.35 2.16 0.0904 0.0034 0.37
2030 77.64 73.61 26.49 28.62 30.12 2.16 0.0956 0.0037 0.29
2035 78.42 76.40 27.06 29.26 30.52 2.21 0.0956 0.0037 0.25
2050 80.72 76.50 27.62 29.89 30.91 2.13 0.0956 0.0037 0.13