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. 2018 Feb 13;35(1):29–62. doi: 10.1007/s10680-018-9467-3

Table 9.

Assumption on gender–age-specific prevalence of education levels from 2010 to 2050 in urban China (%).

Source: The gender–age-specific prevalence of education levels in 2010 is based on the 1% sample from the 2010 China Census

Age group No schooling Primary school Junior middle school Senior middle school College and above
Males Females Males Females Males Females Males Females Males Females
2010 2050 2010 2050 2010 2050 2010 2050 2010 2050 2010 2050 2010 2050 2010 2050 2010 2050 2010 2050
0–4 100 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5–9 24.7 24.7 24.5 24.5 75.0 75.0 75.1 75.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10–14 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 52.2 52.2 51.4 51.4 46.0 46.0 46.7 46.7 1.6 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15–19 0.1 0.0 0.1 0 1.2 0.0 1.3 0.0 32.7 40.0 29.6 40.0 54.1 54.0 55.1 54.0 11.8 6.0 7.9 6.0
20–24 0.2 0.0 0.2 0 2.4 0.0 2.7 0.0 33.3 10.0 33.8 10.0 24.5 32.0 22.5 32.0 39.6 58.0 40.7 58.0
25–29 0.2 0.0 0.4 0 3.0 0.0 4.2 0.0 40.0 10.0 40.5 10.0 23.9 32.0 21.4 32.0 32.9 58.0 33.5 58.0
30–34 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.0 5.2 0.4 8.3 0.5 42.6 13.7 43.0 13.8 24.4 29.2 22.2 28.9 27.4 56.6 26.0 56.7
35–39 0.3 0.1 2.6 0.9 8.5 0.8 19 1.0 46.9 17.5 46.8 17.6 22.7 28.5 18.6 27.9 21.5 53.2 13.0 53.4
40–44 0.5 0.1 3.5 0.1 11.4 1.1 16.9 1.6 49.4 21.2 41.6 21.5 21.1 27.7 27.4 26.8 17.6 49.8 10.5 50.1
45–49 0.6 0.1 6.7 0.2 10.7 1.5 22.9 2.1 45.3 25.0 34.5 25.3 26.3 26.9 28.8 25.7 17.1 46.5 7.0 46.8
50–54 1.1 0.1 4.5 0.2 16.2 1.9 26.2 2.6 41.0 28.7 36.7 29.1 29.0 26.2 25.8 24.6 12.6 43.1 6.8 43.5
55–59 2.2 0.2 8.0 0.3 26.4 2.3 37.0 3.1 43.1 32.5 36.2 32.9 17.7 25.4 12.9 23.6 10.4 39.7 5.8 40.2
60–64 3.1 0.2 11.4 0.3 35.9 2.6 45.8 3.6 36.1 36.2 28.3 36.7 14.8 24.6 10.2 22.5 10.0 36.3 4.3 36.8
65–69 4.8 0.2 17.6 0.4 36.9 3.0 44.8 4.2 31.8 40.0 22.5 40.5 15.2 23.9 10.3 21.4 11.3 32.9 4.8 33.5
70–74 8.4 0.3 27.5 0.5 40.6 5.2 43.9 8.3 24.4 42.6 15.7 43.0 14.0 24.4 8.0 22.2 12.6 27.4 4.9 26.0
75–79 12.4 0.3 41.3 0.8 44.0 8.5 42.0 12.6 22.2 46.9 9.3 48.9 11.4 22.7 4.5 20.0 10.0 21.5 2.9 17.7
80–84 18.6 0.5 54.1 1.3 44.8 11.4 34.8 18.0 19.2 49.4 6.8 49.8 10.2 21.1 2.5 18.2 7.2 17.6 1.8 12.7
85–89 21.3 0.6 62.3 2.0 50.3 10.7 29.7 17.8 14.2 45.3 4.3 45.5 7.8 26.3 2.3 24.0 6.4 17.2 1.4 10.7
90–94 39.0 1.1 69.9 4.5 39.0 16.2 25.3 26.2 13.2 41.0 3.0 36.7 3.4 29.0 0.8 25.8 5.4 12.6 1.0 6.8
95–99 28.6 2.2 75.3 8.0 34.7 26.4 17.6 37.0 26.5 43.1 2.4 36.2 10.2 17.7 1.2 12.9 0.0 10.4 3.5 5.8
100+ 0.0 3.1 69.2 11.4 50.0 35.9 15.4 45.8 0.0 36.1 0.0 28.3 50.0 14.8 15.4 10.2 0.0 10.0 0.0 4.3