Table 7.

Sensitivity analysis—projected costs and outcomes per 1000 population over 20 years

Strategy	Cost	TB incidence	TB deaths	QALYs accrued
Pharmacotherapy interventions’ effectiveness lasts 5 years
Status quo—no new intervention	$816,588	18.88	1.83	14,963.00
Increased taxation	$800,890	18.43	1.76	14,963.66
Pharmacotherapy and counselling	$953,746	18.65	1.79	14,963.33
Pharmacotherapy, counselling, and mass media campaign	$1,009,480	18.52	1.77	14,963.52
Combination of all strategies	$977,469	17.61	1.62	14,964.90
Taxation (one time increase), pharmacotherapy, and mass media continued for 20 years
Status quo—no new intervention	$816,588	18.88	1.83	14,963.00
Increased Taxation	$800,890	18.43	1.76	14,963.66
Pharmacotherapy and counselling	$2,732,610	18.48	1.77	14,963.48
Pharmacotherapy, counselling, and mass media campaign	$3,444,542	18.27	1.73	14,963.73
Combination of all strategies	$3,047,175	17.36	1.58	14,965.13
Scenario where 50% of smokers attempt quitting and use pharmacotherapy services
Status quo—no new intervention	$816,588	18.88	1.83	14,963.00
Increased taxation	$800,890	18.43	1.76	14,963.66
Pharmacotherapy and counselling	$1,293,929	17.83	1.66	14,964.42
Pharmacotherapy, counselling, and mass media campaign	$1,288,847	17.63	1.62	14,964.74
Combination of all strategies	$1,226,645	15.87	1.33	14,967.53
Scenario where 75% of smokers attempt quitting and use pharmacotherapy services
Status quo—no new intervention	$816,588	18.88	1.83	14,963.00
Increased taxation	$800,890	18.43	1.76	14,963.66
Pharmacotherapy and counselling	$1,521,195	16.97	1.52	14,965.59
Pharmacotherapy, counselling, and mass media campaign	$1,512,916	16.68	1.47	14,966.07
Combination of all strategies	$1,433,675	14.46	1.09	14,969.78