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. 2019 Jan 23;15(1):e1006646. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006646

Table 2. Sensitivity analyses of key infection properties.

For each pathogen, we show the three most important parameters with the associated partial rank correlation coefficient (PRCC) and its 95% confidence interval. Notations for parameter values are in Tables 1 and 3. Peak of infected cells is a measure of the size of the infection, peak of free-virion (or elementary bodies, EBs) load is how much progeny is released for re-seeding the infection or transmission, and day of peak is a measure for how quickly the infection grows. For effects on protection by epithelial parameters we tested: ν, μ, ρb, ρp, ζ, and ζu.

Uninfected Epithelium
Total number of cells ρb: 0.72 [0.68, 0.74] Δq: 0.66 [0.61, 0.70] ν: -0.45 [-0.50, -0.39]
Time to homeostasis Δq: 0.62 [0.58, 0.67] ρp: -0.60 [-0.66, -0.55] ν: -0.41 [-0.45, -0.35]
wart-associated HPV
effects of epithelial parameters
Peak of infected cells ρb: 0.98 [0.98, 0.99] ν: -0.94 [-0.95, -0.93] μ: -0.73 [-0.77, -0.69]
Peak of free-virion load ζ: -0.96 [-0.97, -0.96] ρb: 0.94 [0.94, 0.95] ν: -0.85 [-0.87, -0.83]
Duration of infection ζ: 0.96 [0.95, 0.97] ρb: -0.93 [-0.94, -0.92] ρp: -0.85 [-0.87, -0.82]
Day of peak ζ: 0.95 [0.95, 0.96] ρb: -0.93 [-0.94, -0.92] ρp: -0.88 [-0.90, -0.86]
effects of infection parameters
Peak of infected cells ρa: 1.00 [0.99, 1.00] κ: -0.84 [-0.85, -0.83] θ: -0.02 [-0.09, 0.05]
Peak of free-virion load θ: 0.92 [0.91, 0.93] ρa: 0.88 [0.87, 0.90] β: 0.05 [-0.002, 0.11]
Duration of infection κ: -0.96 [-0.97, -0.96] β: 0.71 [0.67, 0.73] θ: 0.71 [0.68, 0.75]
Day of peak κ: -0.99 [-1.00, -0.99] β: -0.49 [-0.55, -0.42] θ: -0.49 [-0.55, -0.41]
HR-HPV
effects of epithelial parameters
Peak of infected cells ρb: 0.98 [0.97, 0.98] ν: -0.94 [-0.94, -0.93] ζ: -0.91 [-0.92, -0.89]
Peak of free-virion load ζ: -0.97 [-0.97, -0.97] ρb: 0.95 [0.95, 0.96] ν: -0.87 [-0.86, -0.85]
Duration of infection ζ: 0.97 [0.96, 0.97] ρb: -0.95 [-0.96, -0.94] νp: 0.86 [0.84, 0.88]
Day of peak ζ: 0.97 [0.96, 0.97] ρb: -0.95 [-0.96, -0.94] νp: 0.86 [0.84, 0.88]
effects of infection parameters
Peak of infected cells ab: 0.93 [0.92, 0.94] ρa: 0.91 [0.90, 0.92] ap: 0.24 [0.17, 0.31]
Peak of free-virion load θ: 0.87 [0.86, 0.89] ρa: 0.80 [0.78, 0.83] ab: 0.77 [0.75, 0.81]
Duration of infection κ: -0.95 [-0.95, -0.94] θ: 0.68 [0.64, 0.71] β: 0.66 [0.62, 0.70]
Day of peak ap: -0.99 [-0.99, -0.99] κ: -0.94 [-0.95, -0.94] ρa: -0.15 [-0.22, -0.09]
Chlamydia
effects of epithelial parameters
Peak of infected cells ρp: 0.95 [0.94, 0.96] ν: -0.94 [-0.94, -0.93] ζu: -0.91 [-0.92, -0.90]
Peak of EBs ζu: -0.97 [-0.97, -0.96] ρp: 0.91 [0.90, 0.92] ν: -0.89 [-0.91, -0.87]
Duration of infection ζu: -0.94 [-0.95, -0.93] ρb: 0.92 [0.91, 0.93] ν: -0.87 [-0.89, -0.86]
Day of peak ζu: 0.94 [0.93, 0.95] ν: 0.93 [0.92, 0.94] ρp: -0.91 [-0.92, -0.89]
effects of infection parameters
Peak of infected cells βu: 0.68 [0.64, 0.71] βp: 0.53 [0.50, 0.58] βb: 0.28 [0.22, 0.36]
Peak of EBs βu: 0.79 [0.76, 0.81] ηu: -0.68 [-0.73, -0.65] βp: -0.61 [-0.66, -0.57]
Duration of infection βp: 0.85 [0.84, 0.87] f: -0.65 [-0.69, -0.61] ηu: 0.37 [0.32, 0.42]
Day of peak βu: -0.82 [-0.84, -0.80] βp: -0.79 [-0.82, -0.77] ηu: -0.33 [-0.40, -0.26]