Table 1.
Comparison of model performances on different data sets.
| Data sets: organisms, radionuclides | Best-supported model (the one with lowest AICc) | Sum of Akaike weights for GE and PD models | Minimum RMSE loss for | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GE and PD models | ME and BE models | ||||
| I. Humans, plutonium | Subject 1 | PD | 1.000 | 110.3 | 7706.3 |
| Subject 2 | PD | 1.000 | 19.3 | 7367.0 | |
| Subject 3 | PD | 1.000 | −61.6 | 2246.0 | |
| Subject 4 | BE | 0.379 | 1037.2 | 144556.7 | |
| Subject 5 | PD | 1.000 | 166.7 | 28807.9 | |
| II. Humans, strontium | Subject 1 | ME | 0.272 | 406.7 | 1002.1 |
| Subject 2 | GE | 0.667 | 248.8 | 4543.5 | |
| Subject 3 | ME | 0.002 | 838.5 | 1132.7 | |
| III. Laboratory animals | Mouse | ME | 0.493 | 42.4 | 67.6 |
| Sea urchin | BE | 0.549 | 273.5 | 729.4 | |
| IV. Wild animals in Fukushima nuclear accident zone, caesium | Wild boar | GE | 0.943 | 26.6 | 50.3 |
| Black bear | ME | 0.245 | 107.8 | 106.7 | |
| Sika deer | BE | 0.277 | 48.9 | −23.9 | |
| Ocellate spot skate | BE | 0.533 | −121.5 | −132.1 | |
| V. Wild animals in Chernobyl nuclear accident zone, caesium | Wild boar | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Instances when CPD models were favoured over discrete rate models are shown in bold font. The NA label for data set V indicates that these data were explained exclusively by physical decay of radionuclides, as described in the main text, and all tested models therefore produced equivalent fits.