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. 2019 Feb 4;9:1218. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-38046-9

Table 1.

Comparison of model performances on different data sets.

Data sets: organisms, radionuclides Best-supported model (the one with lowest AICc) Sum of Akaike weights for GE and PD models Minimum RMSE loss for
GE and PD models ME and BE models
I. Humans, plutonium Subject 1 PD 1.000 110.3 7706.3
Subject 2 PD 1.000 19.3 7367.0
Subject 3 PD 1.000 −61.6 2246.0
Subject 4 BE 0.379 1037.2 144556.7
Subject 5 PD 1.000 166.7 28807.9
II. Humans, strontium Subject 1 ME 0.272 406.7 1002.1
Subject 2 GE 0.667 248.8 4543.5
Subject 3 ME 0.002 838.5 1132.7
III. Laboratory animals Mouse ME 0.493 42.4 67.6
Sea urchin BE 0.549 273.5 729.4
IV. Wild animals in Fukushima nuclear accident zone, caesium Wild boar GE 0.943 26.6 50.3
Black bear ME 0.245 107.8 106.7
Sika deer BE 0.277 48.9 −23.9
Ocellate spot skate BE 0.533 −121.5 −132.1
V. Wild animals in Chernobyl nuclear accident zone, caesium Wild boar NA NA NA NA

Instances when CPD models were favoured over discrete rate models are shown in bold font. The NA label for data set V indicates that these data were explained exclusively by physical decay of radionuclides, as described in the main text, and all tested models therefore produced equivalent fits.