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. 2018 Mar 22;4(1):2–10. doi: 10.1016/j.afos.2018.03.001

Table 1.

FRAX and garvan fracture risk calculator.

Characteristic Garvan model FRAX model
Risk factors considered Sex
Age
No. of prior fractures
No. of falls over the past 12 months
Femoral neck BMD
Sex
Age
Prior fracture (yes/no)
Body weight
Body height
Femoral neck BMD
Parental history of fracture
Current smoking
Alcohol (3 or more units/day)
Chronic corticosteroid use
Rheumatoid arthritis
Secondary osteoporosis
Method for selecting variables Bayesian Model Averaging method NA
Adjustment for competing risk of mortality No Yes
Statistical model Cox proportional hazards NA
Output 5- and 10-year risk of total fracture
5- and 10-year risk of hip fracture
10-year risk of major fracture
10-year risk of hip fracture
Typical AUC, median (range)
Total fracture (in validation studies) 0.74 (0.64–0.88) 0.69 (0.54–0.83)
Hip fracture (in validation studies) 0.79 (0.67–0.85) 0.78 (0.70–0.88)
Website Garvan.org.org/bone-fracture-risk shef.ac.uk/FRAX

BMD, bone mineral density; NA, not available; AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

Data were derived from Nguyen and Eisman. J Clin Densitom 2017;20:368–78 [53].

FRAX (Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK), Garvan Fracture Risk Calculator (Garvan Institute of Medical Research, Sydney, Australia).