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. 2018 Sep 10;44(2):197–207. doi: 10.1093/jpepsy/jsy070

Table III.

Prediction of Prospective Smoking Initiation Among Smoking-Naïve (n = 932)

Smoking initiation
HR 95% CI p
BMI predicting subsequent smoking initiation
 BMI (lagged) 1.23 [1.01, 1.49] .04
 Non-White (%) 0.92 [0.57, 1.50] .75
 Received lunch subsidy (%) 1.56 [1.26, 1.94] <.001
 Age (T1) 1.36 [1.11, 1.66] .003
 Gender 0.79 [0.54, 1.14] .20
Mediational model: BMI and SEPA predicting smoking initiation
 BMI (lagged) 1.17 [0.96, 1.43] .12
 SEPA (lagged) 0.75 [0.59, 0.94] .014
 Non-White (%) 0.96 [0.59, 1.55] .86
 Received lunch subsidy (%) 1.55 [1.25, 1.92] <.001
 Age (T1) 1.34 [1.09, 1.64] .005
 Gender 0.88 [0.60, 1.29] .51

Note. BMI = body mass index percentile based on youth of the same age and sex from self-reported height and weight; CI = confidence interval; HR = hazard ratio; SEPA: self-esteem for physical appearance; T = time point in study.