Table 2.

Transition probabilities with variances of Braden scores to endpoints for a multistate Markov model (n=34 787)

	Minimal risk	At risk	Moderate risk	High risk	Very high risk	Discharge	HAPI	Cumulative probability
Minimal risk	0.0355 (3.93E-06)	0.0139 (1.16E-06)	0.0040 (1.01E-07)	0.0025 (5.42E-08)	0.0005 (1.18E-08)	0.9367 (2.60E-06)	0.0068 (3.11E-09)	1.0
At risk	0.0360 (9.06E-06)	0.0152 (1.97E-05)	0.0046 (3.29E-06)	0.0030 (7.14E-07)	0.0006 (6.79E-08)	0.9246 (6.44E-06)	0.0159 (1.01E-07)	1.0
Moderate risk	0.0342 (3.81E-06)	0.0157 (4.53E-05)	0.0051 (9.53E-05)	0.0035 (2.09E-05)	0.0007 (1.17E-06)	0.9051 (2.26E-05)	0.0357 (1.53E-06)	1.0
High risk	0.0330 (1.71E-06)	0.0161 (2.26E-05)	0.0055 (5.49E-05)	0.0039 (1.30E-04)	0.0008 (1.49E-05)	0.8892 (3.29E-05)	0.0515 (3.44E-06)	1.0
Very high risk	0.0323 (6.62E-06)	0.0166 (3.88E-05)	0.0058 (9.30E-5)	0.0042 (4.31E-04)	0.0009 (7.47E-04)	0.8752 (1.54E-04)	0.0650 (2.26E-05)	1.0

HAPI indicates hospital-acquired pressure injury; minimal risk, Braden score 19–23; at risk, Braden score 15–18; moderate risk, Braden score 13–14; high risk, Braden score 10–12; very high risk, Braden score 6–9.

HAPI, hospital-acquired pressure injury.