TABLE 2—
Cesarean Rates During Different Child Policy Periods: Hubei and Gansu Provinces, China, 2013–2016
| 1-Child Policy Period | 
Selective 2-Child Policy Period | 
Universal 2-Child Policy Period | 
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| Rate | Crude RR (95% CI) | Adjusted RR (95% CI) | Rate | Crude RR (95% CI) | Adjusted RR (95% CI) | Rate | Crude RR (95% CI) | Adjusted RR (95% CI) | Pa | |
| All | 45.1 (15 020/33 271) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 40.4 (18 468/45 741) | 0.90 (0.87, 0.94) | 0.91 (0.88, 0.94) | 38.9 (5 727/14 733) | 0.85 (0.81, 0.90) | 0.87 (0.82, 0.91) | < .001 | 
| Province | ||||||||||
| Hubei | 60.8 (6 798/11 180) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 55.8 (7 656/13 718) | 0.89 (0.85, 0.93) | 0.88 (0.84, 0.92) | 54.7 (2 023/3 702) | 0.86 (0.80, 0.92) | 0.83 (0.77, 0.89) | < .001 | 
| Gansu | 37.2 (8 222/22 091) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 33.8 (10 812/32 023) | 0.92 (0.86, 0.99) | 0.89 (0.83, 0.95) | 33.6 (3 704/11 031) | 0.95 (0.87, 1.04) | 0.88 (0.81, 0.97) | < .001 | 
| Level of delivering hospital | ||||||||||
| Tertiary | 41.4 (8 924/21 567) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 37.0 (11 737/31 741) | 0.95 (0.89, 1.01) | 0.93 (0.87, 1.00) | 37.0 (3 905/10 565) | 0.95 (0.87, 1.03) | 0.91 (0.83, 0.99) | < .001 | 
| Secondary | 52.1 (6 096/11 704) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 48.1 (6 731/14 000) | 0.92 (0.88, 0.96) | 0.90 (0.86, 0.95) | 43.7 (1 822/4 168) | 0.87 (0.81, 0.94) | 0.84 (0.78, 0.91) | < .001 | 
| Parity | ||||||||||
| 1 | 49.2 (2 857/5 800) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 40.7 (3 706/9 099) | 0.83 (0.79, 0.87) | 0.86 (0.82, 0.90) | 35.8 (780/2 181) | 0.71 (0.65, 0.76) | 0.76 (0.70, 0.82) | < .001 | 
| ≥ 2 | 55.8 (1 576/2 823) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 55.3 (3 313/5 987) | 0.99 (0.93, 1.05) | 1.00 (0.94, 1.06) | 54.0 (1 041/1 927) | 0.97 (0.90, 1.05) | 1.00 (0.92, 1.08) | .24 | 
| Maternal age, y | ||||||||||
| < 35 | 50.4 (4 006/7 944) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 45.2 (6 173/13 657) | 0.89 (0.86, 0.93) | 0.90 (0.87, 0.94) | 42.5 (1 535/3 609) | 0.84 (0.79, 0.89) | 0.87 (0.82, 0.92) | < .001 | 
| ≥ 35 | 64.3 (457/711) | 1 (Ref) | 1 (Ref) | 61.6 (890/1 444) | 0.95 (0.85, 1.07) | 0.96 (0.85, 1.07) | 60.0 (305/508) | 0.83 (0.72, 0.96) | 0.84 (0.73, 0.98) | .12 | 
Note. CI = confidence interval; RR = relative risk.
P value was for the trend in cesarean rate across the 3 periods.