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. 2019 Mar;109(3):476–482. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2018.304868

TABLE 2—

Cesarean Rates During Different Child Policy Periods: Hubei and Gansu Provinces, China, 2013–2016

1-Child Policy Period
Selective 2-Child Policy Period
Universal 2-Child Policy Period
Rate Crude RR (95% CI) Adjusted RR (95% CI) Rate Crude RR (95% CI) Adjusted RR (95% CI) Rate Crude RR (95% CI) Adjusted RR (95% CI) Pa
All 45.1 (15 020/33 271) 1 (Ref) 1 (Ref) 40.4 (18 468/45 741) 0.90 (0.87, 0.94) 0.91 (0.88, 0.94) 38.9 (5 727/14 733) 0.85 (0.81, 0.90) 0.87 (0.82, 0.91) < .001
Province
 Hubei 60.8 (6 798/11 180) 1 (Ref) 1 (Ref) 55.8 (7 656/13 718) 0.89 (0.85, 0.93) 0.88 (0.84, 0.92) 54.7 (2 023/3 702) 0.86 (0.80, 0.92) 0.83 (0.77, 0.89) < .001
 Gansu 37.2 (8 222/22 091) 1 (Ref) 1 (Ref) 33.8 (10 812/32 023) 0.92 (0.86, 0.99) 0.89 (0.83, 0.95) 33.6 (3 704/11 031) 0.95 (0.87, 1.04) 0.88 (0.81, 0.97) < .001
Level of delivering hospital
 Tertiary 41.4 (8 924/21 567) 1 (Ref) 1 (Ref) 37.0 (11 737/31 741) 0.95 (0.89, 1.01) 0.93 (0.87, 1.00) 37.0 (3 905/10 565) 0.95 (0.87, 1.03) 0.91 (0.83, 0.99) < .001
 Secondary 52.1 (6 096/11 704) 1 (Ref) 1 (Ref) 48.1 (6 731/14 000) 0.92 (0.88, 0.96) 0.90 (0.86, 0.95) 43.7 (1 822/4 168) 0.87 (0.81, 0.94) 0.84 (0.78, 0.91) < .001
Parity
 1 49.2 (2 857/5 800) 1 (Ref) 1 (Ref) 40.7 (3 706/9 099) 0.83 (0.79, 0.87) 0.86 (0.82, 0.90) 35.8 (780/2 181) 0.71 (0.65, 0.76) 0.76 (0.70, 0.82) < .001
 ≥ 2 55.8 (1 576/2 823) 1 (Ref) 1 (Ref) 55.3 (3 313/5 987) 0.99 (0.93, 1.05) 1.00 (0.94, 1.06) 54.0 (1 041/1 927) 0.97 (0.90, 1.05) 1.00 (0.92, 1.08) .24
Maternal age, y
 < 35 50.4 (4 006/7 944) 1 (Ref) 1 (Ref) 45.2 (6 173/13 657) 0.89 (0.86, 0.93) 0.90 (0.87, 0.94) 42.5 (1 535/3 609) 0.84 (0.79, 0.89) 0.87 (0.82, 0.92) < .001
 ≥ 35 64.3 (457/711) 1 (Ref) 1 (Ref) 61.6 (890/1 444) 0.95 (0.85, 1.07) 0.96 (0.85, 1.07) 60.0 (305/508) 0.83 (0.72, 0.96) 0.84 (0.73, 0.98) .12

Note. CI = confidence interval; RR = relative risk.

a

P value was for the trend in cesarean rate across the 3 periods.