Table 3.
Period | Males |
Females |
||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change in H |
Overall cont |
% cont |
Change in H |
Overall cont |
% cont |
|||||||
Observed | Predicteda | Observed | Predicteda | |||||||||
Argentina | ||||||||||||
1953–1965 | −0.026 | −0.028 | −0.018 | −0.010 | 65.2 | 34.8 | −0.036 | −0.035 | −0.023 | −0.012 | 65.5 | 34.5 |
1965–1975 | −0.015 | −0.016 | −0.010 | −0.006 | 63.6 | 36.4 | −0.018 | −0.017 | −0.012 | −0.005 | 69.1 | 30.9 |
1975–1985 | −0.032 | −0.033 | −0.022 | −0.010 | 68.2 | 31.8 | −0.029 | −0.029 | −0.023 | −0.006 | 77.9 | 22.1 |
1985–1996 | −0.012 | −0.011 | −0.007 | −0.005 | 59.9 | 40.1 | −0.014 | −0.014 | −0.010 | −0.004 | 72.3 | 27.7 |
1996–2005 | −0.018 | −0.017 | −0.012 | −0.005 | 70.3 | 29.7 | −0.011 | −0.011 | −0.009 | −0.002 | 77.7 | 22.3 |
Brazil | ||||||||||||
1985–1995 | −0.038 | −0.035 | −0.018 | −0.017 | 51.9 | 48.1 | −0.039 | −0.034 | −0.019 | −0.014 | 57.5 | 42.5 |
1995–2005 | −0.033 | −0.032 | −0.020 | −0.012 | 62.9 | 37.1 | −0.028 | −0.028 | −0.020 | −0.007 | 73.6 | 26.4 |
Chile | ||||||||||||
1956–1965 | −0.058 | −0.062 | −0.033 | −0.029 | 53.4 | 46.6 | −0.066 | −0.069 | −0.039 | −0.030 | 57.0 | 43.0 |
1965–1976 | −0.087 | −0.090 | −0.049 | −0.041 | 54.6 | 45.4 | −0.088 | −0.090 | −0.058 | −0.032 | 64.4 | 35.6 |
1976–1987 | −0.058 | −0.058 | −0.037 | −0.021 | 64.0 | 36.0 | −0.056 | −0.055 | −0.039 | −0.015 | 71.7 | 28.3 |
1987–1997 | −0.031 | −0.029 | −0.019 | −0.010 | 66.4 | 33.6 | −0.025 | −0.023 | −0.017 | −0.006 | 75.1 | 24.9 |
1997–2006 | −0.019 | −0.019 | −0.014 | −0.005 | 74.3 | 25.7 | −0.015 | −0.014 | −0.011 | −0.003 | 80.5 | 19.5 |
Colombia | ||||||||||||
1957–1968 | −0.087 | −0.090 | −0.047 | −0.043 | 51.9 | 48.1 | −0.084 | −0.087 | −0.044 | −0.043 | 50.6 | 49.4 |
1968–1979 | −0.072 | −0.075 | −0.040 | −0.035 | 53.6 | 46.4 | −0.084 | −0.085 | −0.053 | −0.032 | 62.2 | 37.8 |
1979–1989 | −0.016 | −0.016 | −0.010 | −0.006 | 61.4 | 38.6 | −0.041 | −0.041 | −0.030 | −0.011 | 72.4 | 27.6 |
1989–1999 | −0.024 | −0.022 | −0.011 | −0.010 | 52.7 | 47.3 | −0.025 | −0.022 | −0.015 | −0.008 | 66.5 | 33.5 |
1999–2008 | −0.036 | −0.035 | −0.025 | −0.010 | 70.4 | 29.6 | −0.021 | −0.021 | −0.016 | −0.005 | 76.6 | 23.4 |
Costa Rica | ||||||||||||
1956–1968 | −0.060 | −0.061 | −0.038 | −0.024 | 61.4 | 38.6 | −0.067 | −0.067 | −0.043 | −0.025 | 63.5 | 36.5 |
1968–1978 | −0.068 | −0.068 | −0.044 | −0.024 | 64.5 | 35.5 | −0.073 | −0.072 | −0.049 | −0.023 | 67.7 | 32.3 |
1978–1992 | −0.037 | −0.037 | −0.028 | −0.009 | 76.2 | 23.8 | −0.035 | −0.035 | −0.028 | −0.007 | 79.2 | 20.8 |
1992–2005 | −0.011 | −0.010 | −0.006 | −0.003 | 65.0 | 35.0 | −0.013 | −0.013 | −0.010 | −0.003 | 74.7 | 25.3 |
Cuba | ||||||||||||
1961–1975 | −0.050 | −0.048 | −0.031 | −0.017 | 64.2 | 35.8 | −0.054 | −0.051 | −0.036 | −0.016 | 69.6 | 30.4 |
1975–1991 | −0.025 | −0.025 | −0.021 | −0.004 | 82.6 | 17.4 | −0.027 | −0.028 | −0.023 | −0.004 | 83.7 | 16.3 |
1991–2006 | −0.017 | −0.018 | −0.013 | −0.005 | 71.6 | 28.4 | −0.018 | −0.016 | −0.011 | −0.005 | 71.4 | 28.6 |
Dominican Republic | ||||||||||||
1955–1965 | −0.086 | −0.089 | −0.033 | −0.056 | 37.4 | 62.6 | −0.091 | −0.093 | −0.036 | −0.057 | 39.0 | 61.0 |
1965–1975 | −0.058 | −0.058 | −0.034 | −0.024 | 58.8 | 41.2 | −0.060 | −0.061 | −0.036 | −0.025 | 58.9 | 41.1 |
1975–1987 | −0.057 | −0.057 | −0.033 | −0.024 | 57.7 | 42.3 | −0.074 | −0.073 | −0.043 | −0.025 | 59.4 | 40.6 |
1987–1997 | −0.032 | −0.030 | −0.016 | −0.014 | 53.4 | 46.6 | −0.038 | −0.036 | −0.024 | −0.013 | 65.6 | 34.4 |
1997–2006 | −0.026 | −0.027 | −0.021 | −0.006 | 77.5 | 22.5 | −0.021 | −0.021 | −0.018 | −0.004 | 82.8 | 17.2 |
Ecuador | ||||||||||||
1956–1968 | −0.117 | −0.121 | −0.040 | −0.081 | 32.9 | 67.1 | −0.113 | −0.116 | −0.048 | −0.067 | 41.9 | 58.1 |
1968–1978 | −0.065 | −0.066 | −0.034 | −0.032 | 51.3 | 48.7 | −0.078 | −0.079 | −0.041 | −0.038 | 52.5 | 47.5 |
1978–1986 | −0.064 | −0.065 | −0.041 | −0.025 | 62.3 | 37.7 | −0.067 | −0.068 | −0.046 | −0.022 | 67.1 | 32.9 |
1986–1995 | −0.032 | −0.031 | −0.019 | −0.012 | 61.9 | 38.1 | −0.039 | −0.039 | −0.027 | −0.012 | 68.9 | 31.1 |
1995–2005 | −0.037 | −0.036 | −0.024 | −0.012 | 66.4 | 33.6 | −0.035 | −0.035 | −0.026 | −0.009 | 74.8 | 25.2 |
El Salvador | ||||||||||||
1955–1966 | −0.113 | −0.117 | −0.033 | −0.084 | 28.4 | 71.6 | −0.120 | −0.123 | −0.042 | −0.082 | 33.8 | 66.2 |
1966–1981 | −0.046 | −0.047 | −0.024 | −0.023 | 51.2 | 48.8 | −0.098 | −0.097 | −0.046 | −0.051 | 47.0 | 53.0 |
1981–1999 | −0.111 | −0.113 | −0.057 | −0.056 | 50.5 | 49.5 | −0.106 | −0.109 | −0.071 | −0.038 | 64.8 | 35.2 |
1999–2008 | −0.023 | −0.023 | −0.016 | −0.007 | 68.1 | 31.9 | −0.022 | −0.022 | −0.017 | −0.004 | 79.9 | 20.1 |
Guatemala | ||||||||||||
1957–1968 | −0.083 | −0.086 | −0.030 | −0.056 | 35.2 | 64.8 | −0.098 | −0.099 | −0.022 | −0.077 | 22.3 | 77.7 |
1968–1977 | −0.067 | −0.069 | −0.022 | −0.047 | 32.4 | 67.6 | −0.084 | −0.085 | −0.027 | −0.057 | 32.4 | 67.6 |
1977–1987 | −0.077 | −0.081 | −0.039 | −0.042 | 48.5 | 51.5 | −0.089 | −0.092 | −0.048 | −0.044 | 51.8 | 48.2 |
1987–1998 | −0.065 | −0.063 | −0.029 | −0.034 | 46.2 | 53.8 | −0.076 | −0.074 | −0.043 | −0.031 | 58.6 | 41.4 |
1998–2005 | −0.037 | −0.037 | −0.024 | −0.013 | 63.9 | 36.1 | −0.029 | −0.029 | −0.021 | −0.008 | 74.0 | 26.0 |
Honduras | ||||||||||||
1955–1967 | −0.160 | −0.163 | −0.021 | −0.142 | 12.9 | 87.1 | −0.169 | −0.163 | −0.006 | −0.157 | 3.6 | 96.4 |
1967–1981 | −0.155 | −0.150 | −0.034 | −0.116 | 22.6 | 77.4 | −0.164 | −0.156 | −0.047 | −0.108 | 30.3 | 69.7 |
1981–1989 | −0.055 | −0.053 | −0.029 | −0.024 | 54.2 | 45.8 | −0.055 | −0.053 | −0.032 | −0.021 | 60.0 | 40.0 |
Mexico | ||||||||||||
1955–1965 | −0.091 | −0.096 | −0.041 | −0.055 | 42.7 | 57.3 | −0.105 | −0.104 | −0.041 | −0.063 | 39.5 | 60.5 |
1965–1975 | −0.059 | −0.058 | −0.022 | −0.035 | 38.9 | 61.1 | −0.061 | −0.060 | −0.033 | −0.027 | 55.1 | 44.9 |
1975–1985 | −0.063 | −0.063 | −0.041 | −0.022 | 64.6 | 35.4 | −0.065 | −0.066 | −0.046 | −0.020 | 70.1 | 29.9 |
1985–1995 | −0.040 | −0.040 | −0.027 | −0.014 | 66.0 | 34.0 | −0.033 | −0.034 | −0.025 | −0.009 | 74.2 | 25.8 |
1995–2005 | −0.035 | −0.035 | −0.026 | −0.010 | 72.4 | 27.6 | −0.026 | −0.026 | −0.021 | −0.005 | 80.6 | 19.4 |
Nicaragua | ||||||||||||
1956–1967 | −0.102 | −0.107 | −0.021 | −0.086 | 19.8 | 80.2 | −0.094 | −0.099 | −0.035 | −0.064 | 35.2 | 64.8 |
1967–1983 | −0.127 | −0.130 | −0.048 | −0.082 | 37.0 | 63.0 | −0.152 | −0.153 | −0.067 | −0.086 | 43.9 | 56.1 |
1983–2000 | ‒0.099 | −0.102 | −0.061 | −0.041 | 59.7 | 40.3 | −0.074 | −0.076 | −0.052 | −0.023 | 69.1 | 30.9 |
2000–2007 | −0.021 | −0.021 | −0.017 | −0.004 | 80.2 | 19.8 | −0.020 | −0.020 | −0.017 | −0.004 | 82.5 | 17.5 |
Panama | ||||||||||||
1955–1965 | −0.057 | −0.057 | −0.032 | −0.025 | 56.8 | 43.2 | −0.067 | −0.067 | −0.039 | −0.028 | 58.3 | 41.7 |
1965–1975 | −0.045 | −0.044 | −0.027 | −0.017 | 60.7 | 39.3 | −0.049 | −0.049 | −0.032 | −0.017 | 65.1 | 34.9 |
1975–1985 | −0.039 | −0.036 | −0.021 | −0.015 | 58.2 | 41.8 | −0.047 | −0.044 | −0.029 | −0.015 | 65.5 | 34.5 |
1985–1995 | −0.014 | −0.014 | −0.010 | −0.004 | 73.0 | 27.0 | −0.019 | −0.018 | −0.014 | −0.004 | 76.5 | 23.5 |
Paraguay | ||||||||||||
1956–1967 | −0.035 | −0.036 | −0.023 | −0.014 | 62.0 | 38.0 | −0.043 | −0.043 | −0.029 | −0.014 | 67.0 | 33.0 |
1967–1977 | −0.017 | −0.018 | −0.012 | −0.006 | 64.8 | 35.2 | −0.022 | −0.022 | −0.014 | −0.008 | 64.1 | 35.9 |
1977–1987 | −0.033 | −0.033 | −0.023 | −0.010 | 71.1 | 28.9 | −0.037 | −0.038 | −0.028 | −0.010 | 73.5 | 26.5 |
1987–1997 | −0.003 | −0.004 | −0.003 | −0.001 | 78.2 | 21.8 | −0.012 | −0.012 | −0.009 | −0.003 | 75.5 | 24.5 |
1997–2006 | −0.032 | −0.030 | −0.021 | −0.010 | 67.8 | 32.2 | −0.030 | −0.030 | −0.022 | −0.008 | 74.6 | 25.4 |
Peru | ||||||||||||
1966–1976 | −0.108 | −0.110 | −0.035 | −0.075 | 31.9 | 68.1 | −0.113 | −0.114 | −0.046 | −0.068 | 40.7 | 59.3 |
1976–1987 | −0.078 | −0.079 | −0.044 | −0.035 | 55.3 | 44.7 | −0.081 | −0.082 | −0.049 | −0.034 | 58.9 | 41.1 |
1987–2000 | −0.070 | −0.071 | −0.046 | −0.025 | 64.9 | 35.1 | −0.074 | −0.075 | −0.051 | −0.024 | 68.3 | 31.7 |
2000–2008 | −0.036 | −0.036 | −0.026 | −0.010 | 72.9 | 27.1 | −0.031 | −0.031 | −0.025 | −0.007 | 78.7 | 21.3 |
Uruguay | ||||||||||||
1969–1980 | −0.023 | −0.024 | −0.015 | −0.009 | 63.6 | 36.4 | −0.026 | −0.025 | −0.017 | −0.007 | 70.2 | 29.8 |
1980–1990 | −0.022 | −0.022 | −0.016 | −0.006 | 70.7 | 29.3 | −0.021 | −0.020 | −0.015 | −0.005 | 74.6 | 25.4 |
1990–2000 | −0.010 | −0.010 | −0.006 | −0.004 | 60.7 | 39.3 | −0.011 | −0.010 | −0.008 | −0.003 | 74.1 | 25.9 |
2000–2007 | −0.012 | −0.011 | −0.008 | −0.004 | 68.1 | 31.9 | −0.008 | −0.008 | −0.007 | −0.002 | 79.3 | 20.7 |
Venezuela | ||||||||||||
1955–1966 | −0.076 | −0.079 | −0.046 | −0.033 | 58.2 | 41.8 | −0.084 | −0.086 | −0.053 | −0.033 | 61.3 | 38.7 |
1966–1976 | −0.023 | −0.023 | −0.017 | −0.006 | 74.6 | 25.4 | −0.038 | −0.037 | −0.026 | −0.012 | 68.4 | 31.6 |
1976–1985 | −0.030 | −0.031 | −0.019 | −0.012 | 61.5 | 38.5 | −0.031 | −0.031 | −0.023 | −0.009 | 72.5 | 27.5 |
1985–1995 | −0.011 | −0.010 | −0.005 | −0.005 | 49.3 | 50.7 | −0.017 | −0.016 | −0.012 | −0.004 | 72.4 | 27.6 |
1995–2006 | −0.005 | −0.004 | −0.002 | −0.002 | 43.8 | 56.2 | −0.016 | −0.016 | −0.012 | −0.004 | 73.4 | 26.6 |
Predicted values are estimated as: (see Appendix F.2); ‘cont’, contribution.
Source: Authors’ calculations using data from LAMBdA (Palloni et al., 2014) and formulas from Proposition 1.