A5.

Birth Registry Placebo Test

	Birth Registry Pacebo Test
		(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)
	VARIABLES	Log Births: Age15	Log Births: Age16	Log Births: Age17	Log Births: Age18
2007 Placebo	Coverage*Treated	0.0045	−0.0377	−0.0336	−0.0478*
		(0.0319)	(0.0281)	(0.0266)	(0.0258)
	PBF Coverage	0.0373*	0.0287	0.0295	0.0335*
		(0.0221)	(0.0202)	(0.0193)	(0.0187)
	Constant	1.5218***	1.9395***	2.1694***	2.3325***
		(0.0223)	(0.0193)	(0.0183)	(0.0188)
	Municipal Fixed Effects	YES	YES	YES	YES
	Year Dummies	YES	YES	YES	YES
	Observations	45,986	50,271	52,185	52,907
	R-squared	0.0058	0.0225	0.0422	0.0640
	Number of ibge	5,539	5,570	5,577	5,582
2008 Placebo	Coverage*Treated	−0.0111	−0.0566**	−0.0431	−0.0895***
		(0.0313)	(0.0282)	(0.0265)	(0.0252)
	PBF Coverage	0.0430**	0.0316*	0.0296*	0.0436**
		(0.0201)	(0.0184)	(0.0177)	(0.0172)
	Constant	1.5312***	1.9390***	2.1444***	2.3275***
		(0.0229)	(0.0205)	(0.0190)	(0.0193)
	Municipal Fixed Effects	YES	YES	YES	YES
	Year Dummies	YES	YES	YES	YES
	Observations	45,986	50,271	52,185	52,907
	R-squared	0.0058	0.0225	0.0423	0.0642
	Number of ibge	5,539	5,570	5,577	5,582

Robust standard errors in parentheses

^*significant at 10%;

^**significant at 5%;

^***significant at 1%

⁽¹⁾“Treated” are those who gave conceived after the program was implemented

⁽²⁾“Coverage” denotes a change from 0–100% coverage of the Bolsa Familia Program

PNAD 2005–2009, 2011–2013