Table 1.

Relation of demographic measures to trajectories of global cognition

Mean	Estimate	95% credible interval
Intercept	0.126	0.076, 0.176
Initial slope	0.142	0.120, 0.167
Change point	1.478	1.345, 1.615
Slope after change point	−0.123	−0.141, −0.107
Age at baseline
Intercept	−0.017	−0.023, −0.002
Initial slope	−0.000	−0.003, 0.002
Change point	0.007	−0.024, 0.011
Slope after change point	−0.001	−0.004, −0.0001
Male gender
Intercept	−0.045	−0.124, 0.033
Initial slope	−0.018	−0.047, 0.012
Change point	0.191	−0.028, 0.400
Slope after change point	0.023	−0.005, 0.050
Education
Intercept	0.039	0.028, 0.049
Initial slope	−0.003	−0.007,0.001
Change point	0.022	−0.010, 0.053
Slope after change point	−0.003	−0.007, 0.000

Note. From a mixed-effects change point model adjusted for duration of follow-up.