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. 2018 Nov 27;37(3):391–405. doi: 10.1007/s40273-018-0745-z

Table 4.

List of scenario analyses

Scenario Purpose
1.5% discount rate To assess the impact of varying the discount rate applied to costs and outcomes on the results of the model
6% discount rate
10-year time horizon To assess the impact of varying the time horizon on the results of the model
20-year time horizon
30-year time horizon
Lognormal distribution for PFS To assess the impact of varying the parametric distribution for PFS on the model results
Log-logistic curve for PFS
Spline normal k = 1 distribution for PFS
Spline odds k = 3 distribution for PFS
Log-logistic distribution for RS OS anchor To assess the impact of varying the parametric distribution for OS on the model results
Lognormal distribution for TTD To assess the impact of varying the parametric distribution for TTD on the model results
No cap on TTD and PFS To assess the impact of varying the time cap applied to PFS and TTD within the model
15-year cap on TTD and PFS
PFS:OS = 1:3 To assess the impact of varying the mean PFS and OS difference relationship on the model results
PFS:OS = 1:1
PFS:OS = 1:1.5
PFS:OS = 1:2.5
AE disutilities not included To assess the impact of removing AE disutilities from the model on the results

AE adverse event, k knotts, OS overall survival, PFS progression-free survival, RS routine surveillance, TTD time to treatment discontinuation