Table 3:
S100A8/A9 (cut-off 690 ng/ml) | S100A12 (cut-off 120 ng/ml) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 days | 60 days | 90 days | 8 months | 30 days | 60 days | 90 days | 8 months | |
Sensitivity | 67% | 38% | 40% | 66% | 56% | 54% | 53% | 33% |
Specificity | 42% | 58% | 58% | 45% | 70% | 70% | 71% | 68% |
Positive likelihood ratio | 1.16 | 0.91 | 0.95 | 1.20 | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.86 | 1.05 |
Youden index | 0.09 | −0.04 | −0.02 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.02 |
Hazard ratio*(95% CI), P | 0.68 (0.18–2.58), 0.57 | 0.83 (0.28–2.52), 0.75 | 0.89 (0.32–2.49), 0.82 | 0.72 (0.36–1.42), 0.34 | 2.83 (0.70; 11.49), 0.15 | 2.63 (0.82; 8.43), 0.10 | 2.59 (0.87; 7.67), 0.09 | 1.13 (0.55; 2.33), 0.74 |
AUC (95% CI) | 0.51 (0.31; 0.70) | 0.51 (0.33; 0.69) | 0.51 (0.34; 0.67) | 0.56 (0.44; 0.67) | 0.64 (0.50; 0.77) | 0.66 (0.54; 0.79) | 0.64 (0.51; 0.77) | 0.51 (0.39; 0.62) |
hazard ratio for the occurrence of disease flare if level is above threshold
AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval
The Youden index is calculated as follows: sensitivity + specificity - 1