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. 2019 Feb 4;3(1):31–45. doi: 10.3233/ADR-180098

Table 3.

Incidence of dementia (thousands) for world regions and specific countries, 2010–2030

Area/country Aged 60–79 Aged 60+
2010 2020 2030 2010 2020 2030
World* 5,470 7,247 10,083 10,124 13,927 19,195
  High-Income countries 1,622 2,014 2,440 4,046 5,302 6,813
  Other 4,010 5,523 7,981 5,726 8,082 11,523
China** 1,195 1,709 2,542 1,636 2,365 3,512
Canada** 43 62 81 95 131 183
United States of America** 363 510 645 813 1,045 1,412

Note: *The incidence of dementia was obtained by multiplying rates at age groups 60–64 to 90 + by the corresponding populations. **The incidence of dementia was obtained by first obtaining the population at risk (total population minus persons who already have dementia) then multiplying the incidence rates at age groups 60–64 to 90 + by the corresponding populations at risk. Source: See Table 1 for source of population data. Prevalence and Incidence rates were taken from Alzheimer’s Disease International, 2015. World Alzheimer Report 2015, p. 20 and p. 33. The rates for East Asia were used for China and those for North America were used for USA. For Canada, the prevalence rates were taken from a personal communication with Maëlenn Guerchet of King’s College London dated 1 June 2018, and the incidence rates for North America were used.