Table 2. Input variables for the Markov model.
| Variable | Fixed Value | Distribution | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transition Probabilities+ | |||
| Usual Care | |||
| Complication with hospitalisation (annual) | 0.379 | Beta | Study cohort |
| Healing rate (3-month) | 0.228 | Beta | [13] |
| Death (annual, all-cause) | 0.016 | Beta | [21] |
| Death (annual, wound related) | 0.024 | Beta | [12] |
| Recurrence (annual) | 0.557 | Beta | [13] |
| Specialist Clinics | |||
| Complication with hospitalisation (3-month) | 0.034 | Beta | Study cohort |
| Healing rate (3-month) | 0.345 | Beta | Study cohort |
| Death (annual, all cause) | 0.016 | Beta | [21] |
| Death (annual, wound related) | 0.024 | Beta | [12] |
| Recurrence (annual) | 0.222 | Beta | [1] |
| Costs* | AUD, monthly | ||
| Usual Care | |||
| Uncomplicated | $521 | Gamma | Study cohort |
| Complicated with hospitalisation | $30,319 | Gamma | Study cohort |
| Healed | $68 | Gamma | Study cohort |
| Specialist Clinics | |||
| Uncomplicated | $1,169 | Gamma | Study cohort |
| Complicated with hospitalisation | $30,319 | Gamma | Study cohort |
| Healed | $84 | Gamma | Study cohort |
| Quality of life utility scores | |||
| Uncomplicated | 0.69 | Beta | Study cohort |
| Complicated with hospitalisation | 0.59 | Beta | Calculated |
| Healed | 0.89 | Beta | Study cohort |
+Annual or 3-monthly probabilities were transformed to monthly probabilities using the formula: tp = 1-(1-tpt)1/t [18]
*Costs have been described in full in appendix 2