Figure 3.

Probability of evolutionary rescue with a resistance locus. Here $K=20000$, $N_0=10000$, $\mathbb{E}\left({\Phi }_{\text{A}}\right)=\mathbb{E}\left({\Phi }_a\right)=0.95$, Var$\left({\Phi }_a\right)=0.0025$, birth rate of R is 2, and mutation rate to R is ${10}^{-6}$. The dots represent results of a simulation, while the curves show cubic spline fits to the simulated data. (A) Mutation rate to a is 0.01. (B) Mutation rate to a is 0.05. (C) Mutation rate to a is 0.1.