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. 2019 Jan 30;8(3):e010995. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.118.010995

Table 2.

Projected Increase in Maternal Heat Exposure During Early Pregnancy by Different Metrics and Region (2025–2035 Versus 1995–2005) in the United States in Spring (per Pregnancy)

Regions Maximum Temperature Criteriona EHE 90 EHE 95
EHD Counts EHE Frequency EHE Duration EHD Counts EHE Frequency EHE Duration
Increase 95% CI Increase 95% CI Increase 95% CI Increase 95% CI Increase 95% CI Increase 95% CI
South (AR/TX) Maximum 1.35 0.85–1.85 0.14 0.06–0.21 1.37 1.08–1.66 1.12 0.79–1.48 0.21 0.12–0.30 0.60 0.41–0.78
Median 1.96 1.48–2.45 0.25 0.18–0.33 1.26 0.95–1.59 1.90 1.56–2.27 0.24 0.18–0.32 1.18 0.94–1.43
Minimum 1.21 0.79–1.61 0.07 0.00–0.14 0.62 0.41–0.84 0.80 0.55–1.07 0.11 0.05–0.17 0.37 0.20–0.55
West (CA) Maximum 0.62 0.19–1.05 −0.03 −0.11–0.04 0.46 0.17–0.73 0.47 0.14–0.80 0.10 0.03–0.17 0.27 0.05–0.49
Median 0.63 0.18–1.06 0.05 −0.04–0.13 0.27 0.01–0.51 0.15 −0.11–0.42 −0.01 −0.07–0.06 0.25 0.05–0.44
Minimum 1.82 1.38–2.24 0.30 0.23–0.37 0.96 0.68–1.24 0.54 0.25–0.82 0.03 −0.03–0.09 0.28 0.08–0.48
Midwest (IA) Maximum 1.53 1.06–1.98 0.28 0.19–0.37 1.14 0.92–1.34 1.41 1.10–1.72 0.38 0.28–0.47 0.83 0.65–0.98
Median 0.95 0.48–1.36 0.26 0.18–0.33 0.49 0.25–0.71 1.30 0.95–1.61 0.24 0.15–0.33 0.79 0.61–0.95
Minimum 1.27 0.78–1.68 0.17 0.09–0.24 0.34 0.09–0.57 1.09 0.78–1.37 0.10 0.01–0.18 0.68 0.51–0.85
Southeast (NC/GA) Maximum 1.18 0.69–1.66 0.15 0.08–0.23 0.51 0.21–0.80 0.60 0.31–0.88 0.17 0.11–0.24 0.30 0.12–0.48
Median 0.84 0.41–1.27 0.12 0.05–0.18 0.57 0.32–0.84 0.32 0.08–0.56 0.19 0.12–0.26 0.09 −0.04–0.22
Minimum 0.57 0.23–0.93 0.08 0.03–0.13 0.13 −0.07–0.32 0.24 0.02–0.45 0.24 0.18–0.31 0.21 0.07–0.34
Northeast (NY) Maximum 1.41 0.99–1.80 0.14 0.06–0.20 0.91 0.71–1.11 0.82 0.56–1.07 0.24 0.16–0.32 0.49 0.34–0.62
Median 1.29 0.87–1.67 0.10 0.02–0.18 0.43 0.23–0.62 0.74 0.48–0.99 0.18 0.09–0.25 0.44 0.30–0.58
Minimum 0.51 0.12–0.88 0.06 −0.01–0.12 0.28 0.09–0.46 0.01 −0.20–0.23 −0.12 −0.19–−0.05 −0.05 −0.18–0.07
Southwest (UT) Maximum 1.37 0.88–1.83 0.33 0.25–0.42 0.46 0.17–0.75 0.41 0.09–0.71 0.10 0.02–0.17 −0.06 −0.28–0.15
Median 2.18 1.68–2.67 0.27 0.20–0.34 1.07 0.75–1.37 1.16 0.82–1.46 0.40 0.32–0.48 0.24 0.02–0.44
Minimum 2.46 1.92–2.93 0.35 0.27–0.42 1.07 0.73–1.39 1.53 1.20–1.84 0.42 0.34–0.49 0.76 0.53–0.97

EHD indicates excessively hot day; EHE, extreme heat event.

a

Maximum, median, or minimum grid‐cell daily maximum temperature T max‐cell was used to represent the regional daily maximum temperature, T max‐region.