Table 3.

Parameters used to calculate changes in fly population size and fly activity levels under climate change scenarios.

	μb	μd	Sf0/w	βe	βf
baseline	2.15 × 10−3	1.67 × 10−3	4910	5.10 × 10−11	1.03 × 10−11
increase in fly population size
medium–low emissions
45.7%	2.196 × 10−3	1.696 × 10−3	5250	5.10 × 10−11	1.03 × 10−11
84.3%	2.175 × 10−3	1.715 × 10−3	5500	5.10 × 10−11	1.03 × 10−11
156%	2.204 × 10−3	1.734 × 10−3	6000	5.10 × 10−11	1.03 × 10−11
high emissions
45.7%	2.196 × 10−3	1.696 × 10−3	5250	5.10 × 10−11	1.03 × 10−11
128%	2.197 × 10−3	1.727 × 10−3	5750	5.10 × 10−11	1.03 × 10−11
244%	2.186 × 10−3	1.756 × 10−3	6250	5.10 × 10−11	1.03 × 10−11
increase in fly activity
25%	2.15 × 10−3	1.67 × 10−3	4910	6.37 × 10−11	1.29 × 10−11
50%	2.15 × 10−3	1.67 × 10−3	4910	7.64 × 10−11	1.54 × 10−11
75%	2.15 × 10−3	1.67 × 10−3	4910	8.92 × 10−11	1.80 × 10−11
100%	2.15 × 10−3	1.67 × 10−3	4910	1.02 × 10−10	2.06 × 10−11