Table 2.

Goodness of fit (pseudo-$R^2$) of generalizable PLT models

Model	Nicaragua	Ethiopia	India
No covariates	0.1533	0.4280	0.0611
Average season	0.1536	0.4290	0.0694
Perfect forecast	0.1749	0.4442	0.1065

Model average season corrects for climatic sampling bias by averaging predictions over a base period of seasonal climate data. Model perfect forecast uses observed climatic covariates in the predicted seasons. Values represent cross-validated pseudo-R² values averaged across blocks and weighted with the square root of the sample size of each block.