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. 2019 Feb 27;15(2):e1006742. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006742

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© 2019 Kramer, Shaman

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

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Fig 3 — The relationship between peak timing (A and C) and peak intensity (B and D) ensemble variance and forecast accuracy by predicted lead week is shown for temperate (A and B) and tropical (C and D) regions. Point size represents how many forecasts are included in the point, and only lead week ranges with at least 100 (A and B) or 10 (C and D) forecasts were included.