Table 4.
Predicted differences in mean activity (0–100) and total distances traveled (km) during the day, by night, and across 24 h from dawn to dawn between 2012 and 2016 and 2070 under the best and worst case climate scenarios
| Time Period | Best case | Worst case | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Activity | Distance (km) | Activity | Distance (km) | |
| Not denning | ||||
| Day | − 0.71 (− 5%) | − 0.17 (− 4%) | − 1.00 (− 12%) | − 0.24 (− 10%) |
| Night | 0.74 (7%) | 0.31 (6%) | 1.15 (18%) | 0.50 (15%) |
| 24 h | − 0.12 (− 1%) | − 0.04 (− 1%) | − 0.18 (− 2%) | − 0.05 (− 1%) |
| Denning | ||||
| Day | − 0.84 (− 5%) | − 0.27 (− 8%) | − 1.18 (− 13%) | − 0.35 (− 19%) |
| Night | 0.29 (3%) | − 0.05 (− 2%) | 0.43 (5%) | − 0.06 (− 5%) |
| 24 h | − 0.37 (− 3%) | − 0.31 (− 6%) | − 0.53 (− 8%) | − 0.42 (− 14%) |
Percentage change is shown in brackets. Best case is IPCC representation concentration pathway 2.6 and worst case is representation concentration pathway 8.5