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. 2018 Oct 31;34(3):387–395. doi: 10.1007/s11606-018-4710-5

Table 3.

The Effects of ECHO Pain Participation on Prescribing: Results Adjusted for Selection Bias and for Sex, Age, Beneficiary Category Covariables (Alternative Analysis)

Theme/variable Comparison baseline ECHO Pain baseline Comparison annual change percentage, P value ECHO Pain annual change percentage, P value Interaction P value
Opioid analgesic prescriptions (Rx)
 Avg. number of opioid RX/patient/year 0.56 0.31 − 6.4, P < 0.001 − 22.5, P < 0.001 < 0.001
 Percent opioid users 29.0 13.5 − 8.0, P < 0.001 − 20.1, P < 0.001 < 0.001
Morphine milligram equivalents (MME)
 Avg. MME/patient /year 362 176 − 10.6, P < 0.001 − 27.5, P = 0.002 < 0.001
 Percent opioid users 29.0 13.5 − 8.0, P < 0.001 − 20.1, P < 0.001 < 0.001

Alternative analysis using a propensity scoring transformation with the ECHO distribution as target, i.e., ECHO Pain is unchanged but the comparison group is weighted attempting to reduce the selection bias (see SOM). The addition of sex, age, beneficiary category to model adjusts for lack of balance in Table 1. Importantly, annual change percentages are little affected validating the original analysis. These alternative analyses also do reduce baseline bias