Table 3.
Theme/variable | Comparison baseline | ECHO Pain baseline | Comparison annual change percentage, P value | ECHO Pain annual change percentage, P value | Interaction P value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opioid analgesic prescriptions (Rx) | |||||
Avg. number of opioid RX/patient/year | 0.56 | 0.31 | − 6.4, P < 0.001 | − 22.5, P < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
Percent opioid users | 29.0 | 13.5 | − 8.0, P < 0.001 | − 20.1, P < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
Morphine milligram equivalents (MME) | |||||
Avg. MME/patient /year | 362 | 176 | − 10.6, P < 0.001 | − 27.5, P = 0.002 | < 0.001 |
Percent opioid users | 29.0 | 13.5 | − 8.0, P < 0.001 | − 20.1, P < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
Alternative analysis using a propensity scoring transformation with the ECHO distribution as target, i.e., ECHO Pain is unchanged but the comparison group is weighted attempting to reduce the selection bias (see SOM). The addition of sex, age, beneficiary category to model adjusts for lack of balance in Table 1. Importantly, annual change percentages are little affected validating the original analysis. These alternative analyses also do reduce baseline bias