Table 7.

Performance metrics across predictive models: observation period ⩽3 years after index date (n = 3115; outcomes = 2065).

Metrics	Lasso logistic regression	Naive Bayes	Gradient-boosting machine	Random forest	Neural network	Random	All positive	All negative
Accuracy, %	68.29	58.66	68.04	67.68	65.47	49.42	66.37	33.63
Matthews correlation coefficient, %	22.72	20.07	21.13	16.49	20.44	0.07	0.00	0.00
Area under curve, %	71.38	63.96	72.65	68.95	64.78	49.26	50.00	50.00

NOTE: outcome was progression to later line of therapy after ⩾60 days from the end of a previous one or a stem cell transplantation procedure.