Table 5:
Outbreak size | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Method | Rank | 2–3 | 4–6 | 7–9 | ≥ 10 |
Oracle | 1 | 0.73 ± 0.062 | 0.76 ± 0.065 | 0.66 ± 0.10 | 0.62 ± 0.11 |
DITOc | 0.55 ± 0.069 | 0.78 ± 0.064 | 0.71 ± 0.10 | 0.66 ± 0.11 | |
0.21 ± 0.057 | 0.47 ± 0.076 | 0.62 ± 0.11 | 0.57 ± 0.11 | ||
0.035 ± 0.027 | 0.061 ± 0.038 | 0.16 ± 0.083 | 0.23 ± 0.097 | ||
ExpR | 0.030 ± 0.025 | 0.030 ± 0.028 | 0.037 ± 0.047 | 0.040 ± 0.051 | |
SIM+(4) | 0.36 ± 0.068 | 0.75 ± 0.068 | 0.71 ± 0.10 | 0.66 ± 0.11 | |
Oracle | ≤ 3 | 0.91 ± 0.041 | 0.92 ± 0.044 | 0.80 ± 0.090 | 0.77 ± 0.097 |
DITOc | 0.65 ± 0.066 | 0.91 ± 0.045 | 0.85 ± 0.081 | 0.80 ± 0.093 | |
0.27 ± 0.062 | 0.59 ± 0.075 | 0.75 ± 0.097 | 0.74 ± 0.10 | ||
0.060 ± 0.034 | 0.097 ± 0.046 | 0.23 ± 0.093 | 0.36 ± 0.11 | ||
ExpR | 0.035 ± 0.027 | 0.067 ± 0.040 | 0.062 ± 0.057 | 0.094 ± 0.070 | |
SIM+(4) | 0.44 ± 0.070 | 0.88 ± 0.051 | 0.85 ± 0.084 | 0.80 ± 0.096 |