Table 5:

Probability of root-cause route rank, by true outbreak size.

		Outbreak size
Method	Rank	2–3	4–6	7–9	≥ 10
Oracle	1	0.73 ± 0.062	0.76 ± 0.065	0.66 ± 0.10	0.62 ± 0.11
DITOc		0.55 ± 0.069	0.78 ± 0.064	0.71 ± 0.10	0.66 ± 0.11
${\text{DITO}}_w^{10}$		0.21 ± 0.057	0.47 ± 0.076	0.62 ± 0.11	0.57 ± 0.11
${\text{DITO}}_w^0$		0.035 ± 0.027	0.061 ± 0.038	0.16 ± 0.083	0.23 ± 0.097
ExpR		0.030 ± 0.025	0.030 ± 0.028	0.037 ± 0.047	0.040 ± 0.051
SIM+(4)		0.36 ± 0.068	0.75 ± 0.068	0.71 ± 0.10	0.66 ± 0.11
Oracle	≤ 3	0.91 ± 0.041	0.92 ± 0.044	0.80 ± 0.090	0.77 ± 0.097
DITOc		0.65 ± 0.066	0.91 ± 0.045	0.85 ± 0.081	0.80 ± 0.093
${\text{DITO}}_w^{10}$		0.27 ± 0.062	0.59 ± 0.075	0.75 ± 0.097	0.74 ± 0.10
${\text{DITO}}_w^0$		0.060 ± 0.034	0.097 ± 0.046	0.23 ± 0.093	0.36 ± 0.11
ExpR		0.035 ± 0.027	0.067 ± 0.040	0.062 ± 0.057	0.094 ± 0.070
SIM+(4)		0.44 ± 0.070	0.88 ± 0.051	0.85 ± 0.084	0.80 ± 0.096