Table 4:

True positive rate for a fixed false positive rate of 0.05, by true outbreak size.

	Outbreak size
Method	2–3	4–6	7–9	≥ 10
DDITOc	0.55 ± 0.18	0.96 ± 0.042	0.98 ± 0.024	0.97 ± 0.044
${\text{DITO}}_w^{10}$	0.17 ± 0.066	0.49 ± 0.094	0.82 ± 0.090	0.92 ± 0.075
${\text{DITO}}_w^0$	0.055 ± 0.075	0.12 ± 0.088	0.27 ± 0.14	0.55 ± 0.15
ExpR	0.052 ± 0.018	0.049 ± 0.030	0.052 ± 0.047	0.049 ± 0.056
SIM	0.46 ± 0.091	0.95 ± 0.031	0.98 ± 0.024	0.97 ± 0.044
Coda0	0.090 ± 0.074	0.23 ± 0.16	0.56 ± 0.26	0.92 ± 0.12