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The discriminating ability of the final model (F)
| Prediction Accuracy | Epidemic constant threshold monthly average cases (2008−2015) = 790 cases | Epidemic moving threshold (mean of a moving window over preeding 5 years + 2 SD) |
|---|---|---|
| Sensitivity | 87.0 | 100.0 |
| Specificity | 92.60 | 57.14 |
| PPV | 95.72 | 90.62 |
| NPV | 78.80 | 100.0 |
