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. 2019 Mar 25;9:5082. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-41663-7

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© The Author(s) 2019

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Bayesian network constructed using the data in 2011. Arrows show the causal relationships between variables. Abbreviations: Outcome, the progression of the prognostic category of CKD or very high risk in 2016; progress2009, the prognostic category of CKD in 2009; ht2009, hypertension in 2009; dm2009, diabetes mellitus in 2009; dl2009, dyslipidemia in 2009; old2009, age of 46 years or more in 2009; high_BMI, body mass index of 22.8 kg/m² or more in 2009; high_abd, waist circumference of 81.4 cm or more in 2009.