Table 6.

Potential change in premature mortality from the four cardiovascular diseases (CVD) between 2016 and 2030 in Cameroon following a 30% reduction in population salt intake

Year	Base year	Without salt reduction	With salt reduction	Percentage change
	2016	2030	2030	2016–2030 (without salt reduction)	2016–2030 (with salt reduction)
Men
No of premature CVD deaths	4500	6900	6000	+53.3	+33.3
Premature mortality rate from CVDs* per 100 000; estimate (95% CI)	139.3 (135.2 to 143.4)	129.0 (126.0 to 132.0)	111.9 (109.0 to 114.7)	−7.4	−19.7
Premature mortality probability from CVDs*, %	9.5	8.9 (8.9 to 8.9)	8.1 (8.0 to 8.3)	−6.3	−14.7
Women
No of premature CVD deaths	3300	4900	4300	+48.5	+30.3
Premature mortality rate from CVDs* per 100 000; estimate (95% CI)	101.2 (97.8 to 104.7)	89.8 (87.3 to 92.3)	78.5 (76.1 to 80.8)	−11.3	−22.4
Premature mortality probability from CVDs*, %	7.2	6.5 (6.5 to 6.5)	6.0 (5.9 to 6.0)	−9.7	−16.7
Total
No of premature CVD deaths	7800	11 900	10 300	+52.6	+32.1
Premature mortality rate from CVDs* per 100 000; estimate (95% CI)	120.1 (117.4 to 122.8)	109.2 (107.2 to 111.1)	95.0 (93.2 to 96.8)	−9.1	−20.8
Premature mortality probability from CVDs*, %	16.7	15.4 (15.4 to 15.4)	13.9 (13.8 to 14.2)	−7.8	−16.8

Rates refer to the cumulative mortality rates for adults aged between 30 and 70 years, expressed per 100 000 population. Mortality probabilities refer to the unconditional probability that an adult aged 30 years will die before their 70th birthday in the year 2030. These are presented for the base year of analysis (2016), then without and with the projected 30% salt reduction to estimate the potential change.

*CVDs include ischaemic heart disease, ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke and hypertensive heart disease.