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. 2017 Oct 12;19(4):461–478. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxx041

Table 1.

Squared bias Inline graphicin the unit of Inline graphic, variance Inline graphicin the unit of Inline graphic, relative efficiency measured with respect to the variance of the UDLM estimator, and distance. Distances are the average Euclidean distance between the vector of lag coefficient estimates and the vector of the true coefficients Inline graphici.e. Inline graphic. Results for distributed lag Inline graphicDLInline graphic function estimation Inline graphicupperInline graphic and results for total effect estimation Inline graphiclowerInline graphic are averaged across Inline graphic simulation repetitions

DL Function Estimation   UDLM CDLM EB1 EB2 GRR GADLM BDLM HB
  Squared Bias 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.00
(1) Working DL FunctionInline graphic Variance 19.49 2.31 9.80 10.56 3.62 4.15 11.13 4.32
Completely Matches Relative Efficiency 1.00 8.43 1.99 1.85 5.38 4.70 1.68 4.52
True DL Function Distance 0.14 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.05 0.06 0.11 0.06
  Squared Bias 0.02 7.53 0.74 0.62 1.02 1.21 0.57 0.96
(2) Working DL FunctionInline graphic Variance 20.03 1.36 11.64 12.20 4.64 5.50 8.02 3.79
Moderately Departs from Relative Efficiency 1.00 2.26 1.62 1.56 3.54 2.99 2.33 4.22
True DL Function Distance 0.14 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.07
  Squared Bias 0.02 27.59 1.68 1.41 7.27 17.68 6.29 6.15
(3) Non-smooth True Variance 20.23 1.36 15.50 15.95 10.38 9.62 8.95 8.65
DL Function Relative Efficiency 1.00 0.70 1.18 1.17 1.15 0.72 1.33 1.37
  Distance 0.14 0.17 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.16 0.12 0.12
(4) Multiple True Squared Bias 0.02 1.19 0.17 0.15 0.40 0.36 0.34 0.26
DL Functions Relative Efficiency 1.00 1.54 1.53 1.42 2.09 1.79 1.77 2.26
Total Effect Estimation   UDLM CDLM EB1 EB2 GRR GADLM BDLM HB
(1) Working DL FunctionInline graphic Squared Bias 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.19 0.01
Completely Matches Variance 3.31 3.26 3.74 3.76 3.29 3.35 3.20 3.31
True DL Function Relative Efficiency 1.00 1.02 0.88 0.88 1.01 0.99 0.98 1.00
(2) Working DL FunctionInline graphic Squared Bias 0.01 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Moderately Departs from Variance 3.29 3.26 4.43 4.43 3.24 3.15 3.18 3.25
True DL Function Relative Efficiency 1.00 1.00 0.74 0.74 1.01 1.04 1.03 1.01
  Squared Bias 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.00
(3) Non-smooth True Variance 3.04 2.99 3.55 3.53 3.00 3.08 2.90 3.01
DL Function Relative Efficiency 1.00 1.02 0.85 0.85 1.02 0.99 1.04 1.01

Bold values corresponding to the best performer in each row. Inline graphicThe working distributed lag (DL) function in CDLM for CDLM, EB1, EB2, GRR, and HB.