Table 3. MS incidence based on region, gender, provinces, year of study and design.
Variable | Studies (N)* | Sample (N) | Heterogeneity | 95% CI | Pooled (Per 100,000) |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MS | All | I2 | P-Value | |||||
Region | Center | 26 | 41134 | 284522333 | 99.97 | < 0.001 | 2.0–7.6 | 3.9 |
East | 4 | 94 | 9227079 | 67.80 | 0.025 | 0.7–1.4 | 1.0 | |
South | 4 | 1002 | 17860233 | 98.43 | < 0.001 | 2.9–8.2 | 4.9 | |
Test for subgroup differences: Q = 28.94, df(Q) = 2, P< 0.001 | ||||||||
Gender | Male | 31 | 2158 | 136555427 | 99.87 | < 0.001 | 1.0–1.4 | 1.2 |
Female | 31 | 76156 | 75432131 | 99.87 | < 0.001 | 39.3–59.1 | 48.2 | |
Rate ratio of female to male: OR = 3.04 (2.85–3.24, P< 0.001) | ||||||||
Province | Fars | 3 | 908 | 13585254 | 97.40 | < 0.001 | 4.2–9.6 | 6.3 |
Isfahan | 2 | 574 | 8802567 | 98.81 | < 0.001 | 2.4–13.5 | 5.7 | |
Khuzestan | 1 | 94 | 4274979 | - | - | 1.8–2.7 | 2.2 | |
Sistan and Balouchestan | 4 | 94 | 9227079 | 67.80 | 0.025 | 0.7–1.4 | 1.0 | |
Tehran | 24 | 40560 | 275719766 | 99.97 | < 0.001 | 1.8–7.6 | 3.7 | |
Test for subgroup differences: Q = 49.07, df(Q) = 4, P< 0.001 | ||||||||
Year of study | < 1990 | 1 | 60 | 8769776 | - | - | 0.5–0.9 | 0.7 |
1990–1994 | 5 | 586 | 47222144 | 93.90 | < 0.001 | 0.8–1.6 | 1.2 | |
1995–1999 | 5 | 1402 | 53251981 | 79.37 | < 0.001 | 2.3–2.9 | 2.6 | |
2000–2004 | 6 | 2919 | 65291907 | 90.76 | < 0.001 | 3.9–5.0 | 4.4 | |
2005–2009 | 11 | 3474 | 76707337 | 98.09 | < 0.001 | 2.2–3.7 | 2.8 | |
2010–2014 | 5 | 13887 | 46925376 | 99.96 | < 0.001 | 2.0–56.7 | 10.6 | |
2015–2018 | 1 | 19902 | 13441124 | - | - | 146.0–150.1 | 148.1 | |
Test for subgroup differences: Q = 10943.73, df(Q) = 6, P< 0.001 | ||||||||
Study design | Population based | 27 | 41468 | 289305020 | 98.66 | < 0.001 | 2.0–7.7 | 4.0 |
Cross-sectional | 7 | 762 | 22304625 | 99.97 | < 0.001 | 0.9–3.8 | 1.8 | |
Test for subgroup differences: Q = 2.38, df(Q) = 1, P = 0.123 |
N: Number; CI: confidence interval
* Some studies have been included and estimated the prevalence for more than 1 year and also regions. Each data was considered separately because of assessing the slope of prevalence in the years and estimating which region is the highest or lowest.