Table 1.

Model validation statistics

Country	MCV	DTP1	DTP2	DTP3
	Coverage (%)
Nigeria	80.43	84.39	82.23	82.66
Cambodia	90.31	95.71	96.53	92.41
Mozambique	88.67	87.39	88.24	86.55
DRC	72.15	63.14	67.21	67.22
Ethiopia	88.29	87.90	83.06	80.84
	% Bias
Nigeria	−1.47	−1.70	−2.07	−2.23
Cambodia	−0.81	−0.14	−0.41	−0.83
Mozambique	−0.50	0.11	−0.14	−0.30
DRC	0.54	0.37	0.39	0.44
Ethiopia	−0.66	−0.75	−1.39	-1.79
	VMSE
Nigeria	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.05
Cambodia	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.03
Mozambique	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.04
DRC	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.10
Ethiopia	0.07	0.05	0.07	0.10
	R 2
Nigeria	0.78	0.81	0.79	0.76
Cambodia	0.42	0.30	0.38	0.34
Mozambique	0.56	0.51	0.60	0.60
DRC	0.77	0.73	0.77	0.79
Ethiopia	0.50	0.59	0.61	0.60

Summary of model validation statistics based on a cross-validation exercise for all the countries. VMSE validation mean square error. The R² statistics are based on the fitted models in each case