Table 3. Proportion and number of undiagnosed PLHIV, as estimated by SSOPHIE and the ECDC HIV Modelling Tool, Sweden, 2013 and 2016.
| Transmission group | SSOPHIE 2013 |
ECDC model 2013 |
ECDC model 2016 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Proportion | n (90% PR) |
Proportion (95% CI) |
n (95% CI) |
Proportion (95% CI) |
n (95% CI) |
|
| All PLHIVa | 26% | 2,100 (900–5,000) | 21% (20–23%) | 2,013 (1,831–2,189) | 20% (17–23%) | 2,107 (1,688–2,577) |
| MSM | 17% | 600 (100–2,000) | 15% (12–17%) | 369 (299–434) | 17% (13–22%) | 518 (355–706) |
| Migrants from SSA | 21% (18–24%) | 530 (436–632) | 19% (14–26%) | 535 (359–789) | ||
| Male | 35% | 300 (200–700) | ||||
| Female | 34% | 400 (200–800) | ||||
| Other heterosexual | 21% (18–25%) | 502 (407–600) | 22% (16–30%) | 589 (398–884) | ||
| Male | 30% | 300 (100–1,000) | ||||
| Female | 30% | 400 (100–1,200) | ||||
CI: confidence interval; ECDC: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control; MSM: men having sex with men; PLHIV: persons living with HIV (diagnosed or undiagnosed); PR: plausibility range; SSA: sub-Saharan Africa; SSOPHIE: Stochastic Simulation model of Outcomes of People with HIV In Europe.
a The number of individuals in the subpopulations do not add up to the total number of PLHIV, because not all PLHIV are part of one of these three subgroups.