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. 2017 Jan 17;2017(1):CD004143. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD004143.pub5

Ferenczy 2002.

Methods Stated purpose: to assess endometrial safety and bleeding patterns of 17B‐oestradiol sequentially combined with dydrogesterone
 Stratification: not mentioned
 Blinding: double‐blinded
 No. of women screened for eligibility: 844
 No. randomised: 595 (HT group 1: 117, HT group 2: 114, HT group 3: 117, HT group 4: 118, placebo group: 113 (see Interventions))
 No. analysed: 442 (for endometrial cancer, which is the only outcome of interest for this review)
 Losses to follow‐up: Endometrial status was evaluated by a biopsy, which was available only for women who remained on active treatment for over a year, or who received placebo and completed the 2‐year study. This resulted in 153 losses to follow‐up for this outcome (87 from active treatment groups (24%) and 50 from the placebo group (44%), plus another 16 who received no study medication).
 Adherence to treatment: not reported
 Analysis by intention to treat: no
 No. of centres: multi‐centre (number not stated)
 Years of recruitment: not stated
 Design: parallel
 Funding: Solvay Pharmaceutical
Participants Included
Postmenopausal women with a uterus with amenorrhoea of at least 6 months or surgically postmenopausal (following bilateral oophorectomy without hysterectomy, more than 3 months before enrolment), FSH within normal postmenopausal range
 Excluded
Abnormal (uninvestigated bleeding) vaginal bleeding, use of oestrogens and/or progestogens and/or androgens in the preceding 6 months or more, and any previous use of oestradiol pellet/implant therapy
 Age range: 45‐65 
 Baseline equality of treatment groups: yes
 Countries: Canada and Netherlands
Interventions HT arm
1 mg/d 17B‐oestradiol/ 5 mg dydrogesterone for the last 14 days of each 28‐day cycle
 1 mg/d 17B‐oestradiol/10 mg dydrogesterone for the last 14 days of each 28‐day cycle
 2 mg/d 17B‐oestradiol/10 mg dydrogesterone for the last 14 days of each 28‐day cycle
 2 mg/d 17B‐oestradiol/20 mg dydrogesterone for the last 14 days of each 28‐day cycle
 Control arm: placebo
 Duration: 26 cycles (104 weeks)
Outcomes Endometrial cancer
Notes Power calculation: not stated
Risk of bias
Bias Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Random sequence generation (selection bias) Unclear risk Not described
Allocation concealment (selection bias) Unclear risk Not described
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) 
 All outcomes High risk Endometrial status was evaluated by a biopsy, which was available only for women who remained on active treatment for over a year, or who received placebo and completed the 2‐year study. This resulted in 153 losses to follow‐up (26%) for this outcome.
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) 
 All outcomes Low risk States double‐blinded ‐ review authors believe risk of bias low owing to 'hard' nature of outcomes
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) 
 All outcomes Low risk Review authors believe risk of bias low owing to 'hard' nature of outcomes
Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk All expected outcomes reported
Other bias Low risk No apparent source of other bias