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. 2017 Jan 17;2017(1):CD004143. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD004143.pub5

Notelovitz 2002.

Methods Stated purpose: to determine the lowest effective dose of an oestradiol transdermal delivery system for preventing bone loss in postmenopausal women
 Stratification: not described
 Unblinding: not described
 No. of women screened for eligibility: not stated
 No. randomised: 355 (0.025 mg dose: 89; 0.05 mg dose: 90; 0.075 mg dose: 89; placebo: 87)
 No. analysed: 355 (data imputed for losses to follow‐up)
 Losses to follow‐up: 34 (9.6%)
 Adherence to treatment: 125 drop‐outs: 125 (35%) did not complete 2 years' treatment (88 in active treatment arms, 37 in placebo arm). One participant was withdrawn for failure to adhere to the treatment schedule. Overall level of adherence to treatment in women who continued with their allocated treatment is not described.
 Analysis by intention to treat: yes
 No. of centres: 22
 Years of recruitment: not stated
 Design: parallel
 Funding: Proctor and Gamble Pharmaceuticals
Participants Included
Postmenopausal, non‐osteoporotic, ambulatory women younger than 70 years of age who had had a hysterectomy, with or without bilateral oophorectomy, at least 12 months earlier. Postmenopausal status documented by serum oestrogen < 23 picograms/mL and FSH serum levels > 40 mlU/mL. Non‐osteoporotic status defined by dual energy x‐ray absorptiometry (DXA) minimum T‐score of ‐2.5
 Excluded
Participants who had received oral oestrogens within 2 months of enrolment, or who had contraindications to oestrogen therapy or history of oestrogen intolerance, women with clinically significant systemic or psychiatric disorders; history of cancer (other than basal cell carcinoma in remission or uterine cancer treated by hysterectomy); history of osteomalacia, hyperparathyroidism or untreated hyperthyroidism, abnormal serum lipids, creatinine or liver enzymes; use of medications within 3 months of enrolment that could modify BMD, radiographic abnormalities of the lumbar spine on anterior/posterior or lateral view, which would preclude precise DXA measurements
 Mean age: not stated
 Age range: not stated
 Means of recruitment: not stated
 Baseline equality of treatment groups: yes
 Country: USA
Interventions HT arm: 2 patches, delivering daily dose of oestradiol: 0.025 mg, 0.05 mg or 0.075 mg
 Control arm: 2 placebo patches
 Duration: 2 years (26 cycles)
Outcomes Breast cancer (regular mammograms)
 Fractures
Notes Power calculation: not mentioned
Risk of bias
Bias Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Random sequence generation (selection bias) Unclear risk Not described
Allocation concealment (selection bias) Unclear risk Not described
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) 
 All outcomes Low risk 34 (9.6%) losses to follow‐up. Analysed by intention to treat
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias) 
 All outcomes Low risk States double‐blinded, double‐dummy
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) 
 All outcomes Low risk States double‐blinded, double‐dummy; "hard" outcomes
Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk All expected outcomes reported
Other bias Low risk No apparent source of other bias