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. 2019 Mar;5(1):46–57. doi: 10.21037/jss.2018.12.11

Table 3. Risk-adjustment model results based off variables that met criteria for stepwise selection (PR0.10 for entry and exit).

Outcome/risk factor Derivation cohort [2011–2013] (N=7,192), odds ratio (95% CI) Validation cohort [2014] (N=4,182), odds ratio (95% CI)
Severe adverse event Unplanned readmission Severe adverse event Unplanned readmission
Demographics
   Age 1.01 (1.00–1.02)*
   Age Sqr 1.00 (1.00–1.00) 1.00 (1.00–1.00)* 1.00 (1.00–1.00)*
ASA classification
   3 or 4 1.33 (1.12–1.57)* 1.19 (1.00–1.42)* 1.22 (0.98–1.53) 1.33 (1.04–1.69)*
Comorbid conditions
   BMI (>40) 1.45 (1.14–1.85)* 1.33 (1.02–1.72)* 1.95 (1.45–2.64)* 2.13 (1.55–2.92)*
   Bleeding disorder 1.83 (1.00–3.33)*
   History of smoking 1.49 (1.16–1.91)* 1.33 (1.01–1.76)*
   COPD 1.56 (1.15–2.12)*
   Dyspnea with exertion 1.29 (0.99–1.69) 1.50 (1.03–2.18)*
   Diabetes mellitus 1.21 (1.00–1.47)* 1.19 (0.97–1.45)* 1.29 (1.01–1.63)
   Corticosteroid use 2.03 (1.37–3.00)*
   Congestive heart failure 2.93 (1.07–8.07)*
   Disseminated cancer 2.42 (1.27–4.59)* 3.93 (1.86–8.29)* 3.26 (1.45–7.29)*
   Dialysis-dependent 4.26 (1.39–13.11) 6.22 (2.13–18.21)*
   Functional status, partially dependent 1.62 (1.14–2.31)* 1.64 (0.98–2.73)
Laboratory results within 90 days pre–op. (%)
   Low WBC count (<4,500/mcL) 1.37 (0.99–1.82)*
   High WBC count (>10,000/mcL) 1.63 (1.32–2.02)* 1.43 (1.14–1.79)*
   Low hematocrit (<30%) 1.51 (0.93–2.46) 2.04 (1.13–3.68)*
   Low platelets (<150,000/mcL) 1.53 (1.14–2.06)*
   High INR (>1.1) 1.43 (1.03–1.98)*
   Low sodium (<135 mEq/L) 1.35 (0.99–1.83) 1.70 (1.21–2.38)*
   High creatinine (>1.3 mg/dL) 1.37 (1.00–1.87)* 1.41 (1.06–1.89)* 1.63 (1.14–2.34)* 1.63 (1.11–2.38)*
   High bilirubin (>1.9 mg/dL) 4.09 (1.61–10.37)* 5.05 (2.11–12.08)* 7.14 (1.32–38.70)*
   Low albumin (<3.4 g/dL) 1.62 (1.10–2.39)* 2.05 (1.39–3.01)* 2.80 (1.79–4.39)* 2.03 (1.22–3.39)*
Intraoperative variables
   Operating time 1.00 (1.00–1.00)* 1.00 (1.00–1.00)* 1.00 (1.00–1.00)*

*, indicates significant P value <0.05.