Table 3. Risk-adjustment model results based off variables that met criteria for stepwise selection (PR0.10 for entry and exit).
| Outcome/risk factor | Derivation cohort [2011–2013] (N=7,192), odds ratio (95% CI) | Validation cohort [2014] (N=4,182), odds ratio (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe adverse event | Unplanned readmission | Severe adverse event | Unplanned readmission | ||
| Demographics | |||||
| Age | 1.01 (1.00–1.02)* | ||||
| Age Sqr | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00)* | 1.00 (1.00–1.00)* | ||
| ASA classification | |||||
| 3 or 4 | 1.33 (1.12–1.57)* | 1.19 (1.00–1.42)* | 1.22 (0.98–1.53) | 1.33 (1.04–1.69)* | |
| Comorbid conditions | |||||
| BMI (>40) | 1.45 (1.14–1.85)* | 1.33 (1.02–1.72)* | 1.95 (1.45–2.64)* | 2.13 (1.55–2.92)* | |
| Bleeding disorder | 1.83 (1.00–3.33)* | ||||
| History of smoking | 1.49 (1.16–1.91)* | 1.33 (1.01–1.76)* | |||
| COPD | 1.56 (1.15–2.12)* | ||||
| Dyspnea with exertion | 1.29 (0.99–1.69) | 1.50 (1.03–2.18)* | |||
| Diabetes mellitus | 1.21 (1.00–1.47)* | 1.19 (0.97–1.45)* | 1.29 (1.01–1.63) | ||
| Corticosteroid use | 2.03 (1.37–3.00)* | ||||
| Congestive heart failure | 2.93 (1.07–8.07)* | ||||
| Disseminated cancer | 2.42 (1.27–4.59)* | 3.93 (1.86–8.29)* | 3.26 (1.45–7.29)* | ||
| Dialysis-dependent | 4.26 (1.39–13.11) | 6.22 (2.13–18.21)* | |||
| Functional status, partially dependent | 1.62 (1.14–2.31)* | 1.64 (0.98–2.73) | |||
| Laboratory results within 90 days pre–op. (%) | |||||
| Low WBC count (<4,500/mcL) | 1.37 (0.99–1.82)* | ||||
| High WBC count (>10,000/mcL) | 1.63 (1.32–2.02)* | 1.43 (1.14–1.79)* | |||
| Low hematocrit (<30%) | 1.51 (0.93–2.46) | 2.04 (1.13–3.68)* | |||
| Low platelets (<150,000/mcL) | 1.53 (1.14–2.06)* | ||||
| High INR (>1.1) | 1.43 (1.03–1.98)* | ||||
| Low sodium (<135 mEq/L) | 1.35 (0.99–1.83) | 1.70 (1.21–2.38)* | |||
| High creatinine (>1.3 mg/dL) | 1.37 (1.00–1.87)* | 1.41 (1.06–1.89)* | 1.63 (1.14–2.34)* | 1.63 (1.11–2.38)* | |
| High bilirubin (>1.9 mg/dL) | 4.09 (1.61–10.37)* | 5.05 (2.11–12.08)* | 7.14 (1.32–38.70)* | ||
| Low albumin (<3.4 g/dL) | 1.62 (1.10–2.39)* | 2.05 (1.39–3.01)* | 2.80 (1.79–4.39)* | 2.03 (1.22–3.39)* | |
| Intraoperative variables | |||||
| Operating time | 1.00 (1.00–1.00)* | 1.00 (1.00–1.00)* | 1.00 (1.00–1.00)* | ||
*, indicates significant P value <0.05.