Table 2.
The RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios of ACCESS1‐0 (AC) model projections for the average distribution in elevation (m ± standard deviation), the range size (km2), and the proportion of range size shift (%) between the current time period and the year 2070 for the seven Meconopsis species in the Himalaya–Hengduan Mountains
| Species | Elevation | Range size (proportion of range size shift) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 2070 RCP 4.5 | 2070 RCP 8.5 | Current | 2070 RCP 4.5 (%) | 2070 RCP 8.5 (%) | |
| M. horridula | 4,461.9 ± 562.2 | 4,672.8 ± 539.7 | 4,797.9 ± 469.5 | 977,160.8 | 1,079,806.1 (10.5) | 832,945.4 (−14.8) |
| M. impedita | 4,155.3 ± 554.3 | 4,574.4 ± 513.2 | 4,785.3 ± 474.9 | 133,966.1 | 213,859.3 (59.6) | 153,433.5 (14.5) |
| M. integrifolia | 4,102.4 ± 660.4 | 4,412.8 ± 549.7 | 4,580.4 ± 480.7 | 685,546.6 | 762,052.2 (11.2) | 518,117.9 (−24.4) |
| M. lancifolia | 3,739.2 ± 936.1 | 4,167.7 ± 740.0 | 4,335.9 ± 636.5 | 764,798.1 | 836,449.5 (9.4) | 718,218.9 (−6.1) |
| M. punicea | 3,699.2 ± 544.9 | 3,927.4 ± 450.4 | 4,153.8 ± 417.4 | 224,394.0 | 181,059.2 (−19.3) | 114,493.9 (−49.0) |
| M. quintuplinervia | 3,602.3 ± 642.1 | 4,254.5 ± 477.6 | 4,397.1 ± 381.5 | 255,035.0 | 306,981.6 (20.4) | 176,307.8 (−30.9) |
| M. racemosa | 4,133.9 ± 557.3 | 4,465.5 ± 534.9 | 4,611.1 ± 469.5 | 679,801.5 | 1,014,947.0 (49.3) | 933,248.3 (37.3) |