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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Dev Econ. 2019 Mar 8;139:135–156. doi: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2019.03.001

Table 4.

Cumulative Net Withdrawal Amounts During Text-Message Campaign

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Equation Outcome: Cumulative Value of Withdrawals Normalized Control Mean Financial Education Monthly Reminder Semimonthly Reminder Equation-level treatment joint significance tests (Randomization p-value)
After 1 Month 38.3 −9.58 (8.34) −14.91** (6.90) −5.14 (8.66) 0.196
After 2 Months 67.3 −6.71 (13.76) −24.87** (10.16) −9.76 (12.83) 0.151
After 3 Months 94.0 −6.08 (15.88) −26.56** (12.87) −9.89 (17.43) 0.292
After 4 Months 126.6 −4.50 (20.00) −32.84* (17.78) −18.29 (20.32) 0.245
After 5 Months 161.4 −14.59 (23.15) −41.05* (22.81) −37.13 (22.59) 0.147
After 6 Months 190.3 −13.59 (26.47) −49.51* (25.42) −40.45 (25.22) 0.112
After 7 Months 220.6 −19.05 (30.37) −61.84** (29.45) −51.26* (29.03) 0.063
After 8 Months 246.9 −21.73 (33.37) −53.33 (32.45) −50.76 (32.30) 0.194
After 9 Months 278.5 −29.66 (36.47) −63.28* (35.69) −50.21 (35.71) 0.199
After 10 Months 304.9 −32.05 (38.66) −61.04 (37.62) −41.12 (39.58) 0.358
After 11 Months 326.2 −30.29 (40.89) −58.95 (39.56) −34.39 (41.32) 0.455
After 12 Months 348.6 −30.64 (42.86) −51.94 (42.50) −32.07 (43.11) 0.606
Omnibus Test of Treatment Joint Significance
Randomization p-value 0.563 0.002 0.014 0.085
Observations 10,053

Notes: Dependent variable is cumulative net Tuticuenta withdrawals amounts in US dollars and are normalized at the individual level to be zero in account-opening month (month zero). Column 1 shows control means. Columns 2, 3 and 4 show coefficients of interest of regression estimation models that include branch and opening month fixed effects to account for the stratified random assignment design. Additional control variables include age, strata dummies, education level dummies as in Table 2, gender and migrant status of accountholder. We use randomization inference and re-randomize 2,000 times treatment assignments across participants within each randomization strata to construct significance tests for each time period we observe, and to calculate an omnibus test of overall significance that combines all outcomes (Young, 2018). Column 5 presents the randomized p-value of the equation-level joint treatment joint significance tests for each month. The last row presents the randomization p-value of the Omnibus Test of Treatment Joint Significance for each treatment separately. All results reflect those obtained from randomization c as suggested by Young (2018). Standard errors clustered at month of opening by bank branch in parentheses.

*

p<0.10

**

p<0.05

***

p<0.01.

All monetary variables were calculated in US dollars using the market representative rate of 1USD for 2393.58 Colombian pesos, from May 4 2015.