Table 1.
Model Parameter Values
| Variable | Range | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base, % | Low, % | High, % | Reference | |
| Maximum vaccine effectiveness (VE) vs | ||||
| A/H1N1 | 80 | 55 | 95 | 4 |
| A/H3N2 | 35 | 5 | 55 | 4 |
| B | 59 | 20 | 80 | 4 |
| Absolute decrease in VE per month | ||||
| A/H1N1 | 8.5 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| A/H3N2 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 4 |
| B | 7 | 2 | 16 | 4 |
| Seasonal likelihood of vaccination | 65.3 | 60 | 70 | 5 |
| Relative likelihood of high dose vaccine receipt | 60 | 30 | 90 | Estimatea |
| Absolute decrease in seasonal vaccination with compressed vaccination | 0 | 0 | 7 | Estimate |
| Seasonal likelihood of influenza | 5.9 | 4 | 9 | 10 |
| Influenza illness | ||||
| Case-hospitalization | 4.2 | 1.9 | 7.3 | 10 |
| Case-fatality | 1.17 | 0.04 | 2.08 | 10 |
a
Personal communication, David Greenberg, 2018.